"Most of the world's endangered species -- some 25 percent of mammals and 12 percent of birds -- may become extinct over the next few decades as warmer conditions alter the forests, wetlands, and rangelands they depend on, and human development blocks them from migrating elsewhere."
-- UN Framework Convention on Climate Change.
Each
species evolves to thrive in its own particular ecological niche – to
live in a particular "home" with specific living conditions (including
temperatures ranges and other plant and animal species). Some species
are more adaptable, or "opportunistic", than others. For example,
rats and dogs can survive under many different conditions, but koalas
can only live where there is eucalyptus. Human caused climate change
will alter temperatures, precipitation and sea level - wiping out some
habitats and shifting others faster than many species can migrate.
Unless we drastically reduce our greenhouse gas
emissions, we can expect several factors to combine that will make the
coming die out astonishingly severe. The climate is changing
faster than at almost any time in our planet's history. Also,
many ecosystems are already stressed by human activities – destructive
logging, excessive grazing, over fishing, toxic pollution and the like.
And, human development and habitat destruction impedes many species
from migrating – superhighways effectively block land animals, for
example.
A recent major study indicates that if global
temperatures increase 1.8–2° Celsius (3.2-3.6°F), which is considered a
mid-range estimate, a million species would be threatened with
extinction over the
next fifty years.
This can only be avoided by rapid emissions reductions in the next few
decades. There is still time to save many species, but it is fast
running out. Of course, if temperatures go even higher, more
species will be lost.
Some examples of species and habitats at risk:
Coral reefs
Coral
bleaching is a condition that can seriously damage and kill entire
coral reefs. Corals contain microscopic algae called zooxanthellae that
provide the coral with food and give them their vibrant colours. Rising
ocean temperatures cause corals to become stressed, and they expel the
zooxanthellae and turn white or "bleach". If zooxanthellae do not
return to the coral’s tissue, the coral will die.
As little as
a 1° Celsius (1.8°F) increase in temperature above the summer maximum
can cause corals to bleach. Tropical sea temperatures have increased by
1° Celsius over the past 100 years and are predicted to continue
rising.
An example of this problem is Australia's world famous
Great Barrier Reef, which lies off the state of Queensland. At around
2,000 kilometres (1,243 miles) long it is the world's largest reef.
But
in 2002 the reef experienced its worst ever case of coral bleaching,
with over 60 percent of the reef being affected. Unless projected
levels of climate change are slowed, much of the reef will be dead in
decades. Deprived of their living homes, hundreds of species relying on
the reef will also die out.
Polar bears
Polar bears in Churchill in Manitoba, Canada have to be tranquillised then airlifted north in order to access their natural habitat as the sea ice is returning later and later after the summer months.
Arctic sea ice could disappear within 70 years, and wild polar bears with it.
Polar
bears are the world's largest land predator. They can go for long
periods, even months, without eating, but need to build up fat to live
through lean times. The polar bear does this mostly by eating
seals they catch on the ice. Without the ice they can't get to their
prey. In fact, without sea ice, much of the Arctic ecosystem would
change or collapse. Polar bears also use floating sea ice platforms for
travel, and pregnant polar bears build snow dens for the winter, which
they give birth in. In the last two decades, Arctic ice cover has
retreated five percent and the ice that is left has lost at least 30
percent of its thickness; and an average of two weeks have been lost
from the bear's hunting season.
Plants
Like
animals and insects, plant species require specific climates. You don't
find yellow birch trees growing next to Saguaro Cactus, for
example. Changes in precipitation and temperature will mean that some
species can no longer survive where they are now growing. Also, like
animals plants, are vulnerable to competition. As warming occurs,
species that have adapted to living in cooler climates can be pushed
out of existence by newcomers better suited to the new
temperatures.
Most plants can't migrate very quickly,
compared to animals and insects. They are restricted by how far their
seed or pollen can travel, and the climate will change too fast for
many of them if current trends continue. Human barriers (such as farms
and urban areas) will also impede plant migrations.
Many animals
and insects need specific plants, or types of plants, as part of their
habitat. So the loss of plant species will have a ripple effect –
leading to more animal and plant extinctions.
More information:PBS – Great White BearGreenpeace Australia Pacific – Climate impactsObserved Impacts of Climate Change in the US – Pew studyEcology: Clouded futures - Nature magazine
Global Warming and Terrestrial Biodiversity Decline - WWF reportClimate change and diversity – IPCC technical paper V
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change