Heat waves attributable in part to climate change are forecast to kill hundreds of thousands in this century, however climate change will also have disastrous effects on water supplies, agriculture, and the spread of disease. Rich and poor alike will be affected, but countries that are already struggling to provide food and water for their people will suffer the most.
Water
Disappearing
glaciers, increasing droughts and salt-water intrusion will greatly
worsen our world's current fresh water shortage. The IPCC estimates 3
billion or more additional people will be at risk of water shortage due
to climate change. The Stockholm Environment Institute estimates
that, using only a moderate projection of climate change, 63 percent of
the global population will live in countries of significant water
stress by 2025.
Food
Droughts,
water shortages, rising sea levels, floods, heat waves and temperature
shifts will damage food production in many parts of the world.
Mid-continental areas, including vast parts of Asia and the US "grain
belt", are likely to dry. In areas were dry land agriculture is
dependent solely on rain, such as in sub-Saharan Africa, even a minimal
increase in temperature would dramatically decrease food production.
One
extremely disturbing case of how a small change can produce unexpected
results is the susceptibility of rice to temperature shifts. According
to a study by the International Rice Research Institute, rice yields
decrease by 10 percent for every 1° C (1.8°F) increase in minimum night
time temperature. Rice is the staple food for more than half of the
world's population – meaning this one unexpected impact of climate
change could have profound consequences.
Health
Climate
change increases the spread of disease in a number of ways.
Perhaps most significantly by increasing the range of tropical and
sub-tropical infection bearing pests, such as malaria and dengue
carrying mosquitoes. Roughly 300 million more people will be at risk of
malaria with global warming of about 2-3° C (3.6-5.4°F).
Floods will also compromise water quality – spreading cholera and other
diseases.
More information:Up in smoke? – Working Group on Climate Change and Development