The fact that the UN International Atomic Energy Agency is dedicated to the worldwide expansion of nuclear power. But it is also meant to be the watch-dog for illegal nuclear weapon development. That contradiction has been a key reason the proliferation of such arms has been unstopable.
It is a simple fact that every state that has nuclear power capability,
has nuclear weapon capability. So out of the current 44 nuclear power
states, we could potentially have 44 nuclear weapons states. Several
nations have used their civil nuclear-operations to develop weapons
capability, including India, Pakistan, and North Korea.
It is not just us saying this, Dr. Mohamed El Baradei, the Director
General of the IAEA said: "Should a state with a fully developed
fuel-cycle capability decide, for whatever reason, to break away from
its non-proliferation commitments, most experts believe it could
produce a nuclear weapon within a matter of months."
The world's growing stockpile of civilian-use plutonium is a cause of
proliferation concern. By the end of 2003, approximately 238 tons of
plutonium had been separated in commercial reprocessing facilities,
compared to 250 tons, which were generated for nuclear weapons. Some
103 tons of this military plutonium has been declared 'excess' and will
be added to the 'civil' plutonium stockpile.
Most of the military plutonium belongs to Russia (130 tons) and the US
(100 tons). While military plutonium production has almost stopped
completely after the end of the cold war, commercial reprocessing
continues.
Considering that only five kilograms of reactor plutonium is enough to
fabricate a crude nuclear warhead - the bomb that destroyed Nagasaki in
1945 and killed 50,000 people contained 6.1 kilograms of plutonium - the
security of the plutonium stockpiles is paramount.
Civil Stockpiles
There are civil stockpiles stored in France, Britain, Russia, Japan,
India, Belgium, Germany, and the US. Yet Britain, France,
Japan, Russia, and India continue to produce more civil plutonium. It
is expected that by the end of 2010, the stockpile of separated
plutonium will further increase from 238 to 286 tons.
A program borne in the wake of 9/11 will spend US$20 billion over 10
years in a global effort to prevent terrorists and other would-be
proliferators from acquiring nuclear weapons. But the only way to
address the issue is to simply stop all reprocessing and plutonium
production.
Civil nuclear programmes lead to nuclear arms - visit our disarmament section.
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