The North-East Asian nuclear situation often casts North Korea as a rogue player, however the situation is far more complex than it initially seems.
The region is awash with plutonium, over 40 tons of which is
concentrated in Japan. South Korea made it publically known in
September 2004 that it had uranium enriched far beyond that needed for
peaceful nuclear use.
Since
1994 North Korea has alternated between agreeing to halt all nuclear
weapons development in exchange for energy assistance and development
aid, and continuing to move forward with its nuclear weapons programme.
To address this stalemate the Six Party talks, which include Japan,
China, the US, Russia and the two Koreas began in 2003. The Joint
Statement emerging from the 5th round of talks in September 2005
committed the parties to joint efforts for lasting peace and stability
in North East Asia, with an agreement 'to explore ways and means for
promoting security cooperation in northeast Asia.'
Those ways
and means should include a Nuclear Free Zone, through which North Korea
would agree to abandon plans for a nuclear energy and weapons program
and submit to IAEA inspections. This process should be encouraged by a
renewable energy aid package. Offering assistance to North Korea in
developing renewable energy would both meet North Korea's stated energy
requirements while completely allaying fears those offering assistance
would be supporting North Korea's weapons program. Additional benefits
would include reduced costs related to repairing North Korea's
electrical grid and stimulation to the renewables industry in North
East Asia.
The meetings however have been marred by hypocrisy
and fault on all sides, as China, Russia, and the US fail in their
international obligations to pursue nuclear disarmament, and are
actively upgrading their nuclear arsenals. A Nuclear Free Zone would
ensure that these countries, in particular the US, offered assurances
to North Korea that as long as it does not pursue nuclear weapons, the
US will promise not to have weapons in or aimed at any location on the
Korean peninsula. These nuclear weapons states urgently need to take
active steps towards disarmament if they expect these talks to move
forward in good faith.
The onus is also on Japan, another major
player and a non-nuclear state in the current Six Party Talks. It has
an important role to play in reducing the proliferation dangers in East
Asia by abandoning its advanced plutonium program. Specifically, it
should abandon plans to start up its Rokkasho-mura reprocessing plant
in 2006, which will produce as much as 6-7,000kg of plutonium each
year, dwarfing North Korea's plutonium production capacity.
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