Daniel has just sent me a leaked internal document from the G8 negotiations. I don't know where he gets these and I'm not going to ask. The original is a MS Word document with track changes revealing edits by the Bush administration.
I've uploaded a .pdf copy of the leaked G8 draft here. There's a Reuters story on it here. And here's some off the cuff commentary from Daniel (one of our political advisors):
On May 24th, German Chancellor Merkel sheepishly admitted that the G8 may not agree on how to deal with climate change when they meet in Heiligendamm from June 6th-8th. She had probably been reading the US comments on the G8 climate document. Merkel prides herself on getting on
with Bush. But like Bush’s friend Blair, she was wrong to hope that Bush would change his oil-trenched mind on climate change. It doesn’t make it better of course, but this is a classic case of told you so.
I have been to many international negotiations. I have seen diplomats - who usually excel at the art saying nothing (offensive, anyway) - lose their temper. But never have I seen such strong wording in a document: "The U.S. still has serious, fundamental concerns about this draft statement. ... The treatment of climate change runs counter to our overall position and crosses multiple "red lines" in terms of what we simply cannot agree to. This document is called FINAL, but we have never agreed to any of the climate language present in the document. ... there is only so far we can go given our fundamental opposition to the German position."
No wonder, Madame Merkel is feeling a little down. The Bush administration once again proves with this intervention that they both ignore the global scientific consensus and the rapidly rising concern in the US on climate change.
We have been here before, of course. Tony Blair also ignored the climate rather than Bush at the 2005 G8 summit in Scotland. If Merkel learns from Blair's continuing delusions about Bush, she can still make many steps forward for the climate at Heiligendamm. She could, for example, commit Germany to cut its emissions by 40% by 2020 - no matter what other countries do. That would be leadership. That it can be done, Greenpeacer Germany has shown in a recent study.
Merkel must move forward without the US and ensure that the rest of the G8 commit to cutting their emissions by 80-90 percent by 2050. Anything less will be neither adequate nor fair. The seven Kyoto Protocol members must not leave Heiligendamm without stating clearly, that they will agree the required binding cuts under the Protocol by 2009 at the latest. Reasons enough to still head to Rostock and join the climate block in the big anti-G8 demonstration on June 2nd and attend the alternative summit as well. See you there!