Vienna, Austria —
At a press conference today, the IAEA presented the conclusions of its digest report, "Chernobyl's Legacy: Health, Environmental and Socio-Economic Impacts," just released by the Chernobyl Forum. The digest, based on a three-volume, 600-page report and incorporating the work of hundreds of scientists, economists and health experts, assesses the 20-year impact of the largest nuclear accident in history.
According to the Agency "fewer than 50 deaths had been directly
attributed to radiation from the disaster, almost all being highly
exposed rescue workers, many who died within months of the accident but
others who died as late as 2004."
However, these conclusions are not substantiated by reports upon which
the digest is based. Indeed they are contradicted by them. Often,
research has been omitted and where scientific uncertainty exists, the
authors simply conclude that there is no impact. A more careful reading
of the 600-page report, as well as previous published research by
UN-bodies leads to very different conclusions. For example:
* The World Health Organisation refers to a study of 72,000 Russian
clean-up workers of which 212 died as the result of radiation. The
total number of 'liquidators' (in Belarus, Russia and Ukraine) is
estimated at some 600,000;
* The number of 4,000 deaths relates only to a population of 600,000,
whereas radiation was spread over most of Europe. The IAEA has omitted
the impacts of Chernobyl fall out on millions of Europeans;
* The IAEA tries to make strict distinction between health impacts
attributable to radiation and other health impacts attributable to
stress, social situation etc. However, the WHO is referring to numerous
reports which indicate an impact of radiation on the immune system,
causing a wide range of health effects;
The IAEA states today that previous researchers who have estimated the
number of deaths up to hundreds of thousands have exaggerated the
impacts. This is not correct.
The WHO rightly refers to 2 different methodological approaches to assess the health impacts of radiation:
* The first - the scientifically most accepted approach - is based on
the standards set by the International Commission on Radiation
Protection (ICRP) and which assumes that there is a linear relationship
between radiation dose and effect, without a threshold. This means that
if a very large population is subjected to a very low dose, the
collective impact can still be very serious. In the case of the
Chernobyl accident, this leads to estimates long term fatality
estimates in the hundreds of thousands.
* The other approach is based on epidemiology and tries to report the
actual number of casualties and use statistical methods to estimate the
total number of casualties for a population. This approach is valuable
in well controlled situations, but can become very problematic in
complex situations such as in Europe, where were it will be absolutely
impossible to relate individual cases cancer e.g. in Belgium or France
to Chernobyl fallout.
The Chernobyl explosion occurred April 26, 1986, when an out-of-control
nuclear reaction blew off the roof of the steel building and spewed
tons of radioactive material into the air. It was the worst nuclear
accident in history.
"It is appalling that the IAEA is whitewashing the impacts of one of
the most serious industrial accidents in human history," said Jan Vande
Putte, Greenpeace International nuclear campaigner.
"Denying the real
implications is not only insulting the thousands of victims - who are
told that their illnesses are a result of stress and irrational
fear and not radiation - but is also leads to dangerous
recommendations, to relocate people back in to contaminated
areas."