{"id":75948,"date":"2026-03-04T13:46:51","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T00:46:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/aotearoa\/?p=75948"},"modified":"2026-03-05T08:08:34","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T19:08:34","slug":"the-strikes-on-iran-show-why-quitting-oil-is-more-important-than-ever","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/aotearoa\/story\/the-strikes-on-iran-show-why-quitting-oil-is-more-important-than-ever\/","title":{"rendered":"The strikes on Iran show why quitting oil is more important than\u00a0ever"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n<p>As Israel and the United States <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/iran-has-been-attacked-by-us-and-israel-when-peace-was-within-reach-277175\">strike Iran<\/a>, global <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/commodities\/iran-war-throws-oil-market-into-biggest-crisis-decades-2026-02-28\/\">oil markets<\/a> are on edge.<\/p>\n\n<p>Oil prices have begun <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=sjIR1IZxA-M\">rising<\/a> even before any disruption to supply. Oil traders are factoring in the possibility the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-02-28\/oil-tankers-avoiding-vital-hormuz-strait-after-us-bombs-iran\">Strait of Hormuz<\/a> might <a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalbankingandfinance.com\/irans-revolutionary-guards-tell-ships-passage-through-strait\/\">close<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/detail.php?id=65504\">Roughly 20%<\/a> of the world\u2019s traded oil passes through this narrow waterway between <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/topics\/iran-1870\">Iran<\/a> to the north and <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/topics\/oman-1982\">Oman<\/a> and the United Arab Emirates to the south. One oil tanker <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/oil-tanker-hit-off-oman-coast-after-drones-strike-duqm-port-2026-03-01\/\">has been bombed<\/a> and traffic has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lloydslist.com\/LL1156480\/Tankers-shun-Strait-of-Hormuz-as-total-vessel-traffic-plunges\">all but halted<\/a>. In global energy markets, the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/strait-of-hormuz-if-the-iran-conflict-shuts-worlds-most-important-oil-chokepoint-global-economic-chaos-could-follow-277199\">mere threat<\/a> of interruption can push prices higher.<\/p>\n\n<p>Oil isn\u2019t like most commodities. Control of the energy-dense fuel shapes <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/oil-shocks-in-the-1970s-drove-rapid-changes-in-transport-it-could-happen-again-if-middle-east-tensions-continue-259670\">geopolitics<\/a>. Three-quarters of the world\u2019s population live in countries <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/latest-insights\/energy-security-in-an-insecure-world\/\">dependent on oil imports<\/a> for cars, trucks and other uses. Controlling the flow of oil and, increasingly, gas, has long been used as leverage, from the oil shocks of the 1970s to Russia cutting European gas supplies in 2022.<\/p>\n\n<p>Any serious disruption to tanker traffic in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/cifamerica\/2010\/oct\/27\/gulf-of-understanding\">the Gulf<\/a> would <a href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/if-trump-strikes-iran-mapping-oil-disruption-scenarios\">send shockwaves<\/a> through global oil markets and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/ff3d90ac-ba4c-4203-b170-68ab0731686c\">threaten<\/a> economic stability. Long queues have already been <a href=\"https:\/\/au.news.yahoo.com\/aussie-drivers-warned-to-fill-up-as-iran-conflict-creates-chaos-at-petrol-stations-prices-will-spike-220906003.html\">reported<\/a> in Australia as motorists <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2026-03-01\/iran-conflict-impact-on-oil-price-and-australian-economy\/106401868\">vie to fill up<\/a> before possible price spikes.<\/p>\n\n<p>As international tensions increase, nations from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/the-americas\/2026\/02\/26\/donald-trumps-oil-embargo-reveals-a-solar-boom-in-cuba\">Cuba<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/visitukraine.today\/blog\/7046\/ukrainians-are-buying-electric-cars-at-record-rates-why-has-demand-for-electric-vehicles-grown?srsltid=AfmBOorYgyaXLylGyb57f9kgrp7t4-SEc4p1Uw7WJd40BqanX-x4G1NF\">Ukraine<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/global-development\/2025\/sep\/12\/ethiopia-electric-vehicle-power-petrol-diesel-cars-dam-green-energy\">Ethiopia<\/a> are accelerating plans to reduce their oil dependence and boost energy security.<\/p>\n\n<iframe title=\"The Strait of Hormuz is an oil chokepoint\" aria-label=\"Locator map\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-1GetK\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/1GetK\/4\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"644\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">window.addEventListener(\"message\",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}});<\/script>\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><\/summary>\n<p><\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:100%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-half-a-century-of-oil-leverage\">Half a century of oil leverage<\/h2>\n\n<p>The power of oil became obvious during the 1973 oil embargo, when major Middle East <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bakerinstitute.org\/research\/arab-embargo-50-years-ago-weaponized-oil-inflict-economic-trauma-sound-familiar\">oil producers<\/a> slashed supply in a bid to reshape US foreign policy. Prices quadrupled, <a href=\"https:\/\/history.state.gov\/milestones\/1969-1976\/oil-embargo\">economies stalled<\/a> and energy security became a central political issue almost overnight. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries have since <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.worldbank.org\/en\/developmenttalk\/a-century-and-a-half-of-oil-supply-management--opec-s-endurance\">coordinated supply<\/a> to drive up prices.<\/p>\n\n<p>Today, the mechanisms of control <a href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/daniel-yergin-new-map\">look different<\/a> but the power created by oil dependence remains.<\/p>\n\n<p>Even before US military action, sanctions on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/energy\/en\/news-research\/latest-news\/crude-oil\/032420-oil-price-crash-prompts-tougher-us-sanctions-push-on-iran-venezuela-flows-analysts\">major producers<\/a> such as Iran and Venezuela have cut supply and reshaped trade flows. <\/p>\n\n<p>Current tensions near chokepoints such as the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/topics\/strait-of-hormuz-73874\">Strait of Hormuz<\/a> introduce risk premiums into prices.<\/p>\n\n<p>Oil markets are <a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/commodity\/crude-oil\">forward-looking<\/a>, meaning prices reflect not only current supply and demand but expectations of what might happen next.<\/p>\n\n<p>The strikes on Iran have seen prices of <a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/commodity\/brent-crude-oil\">Brent crude<\/a> \u2013 the global benchmark \u2013 trading around <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/futures\/brent\/\">US$76<\/a> (A$107) per barrel, up from roughly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livecharts.co.uk\/futures_commodities\/brent_oil_prices_historical.php\">US$68<\/a> (A$96) a few weeks earlier. Because prices are global, political instability anywhere can have economic consequences everywhere.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-who-s-reducing-dependence-on-oil\">Who\u2019s reducing dependence on oil?<\/h2>\n\n<p>In 2015, India blocked Nepal\u2019s oil imports, triggering chaos. In response, authorities encouraged the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/renewables-have-now-passed-coal-globally-and-growth-is-fastest-in-countries-like-bhutan-and-nepal-263047\">very rapid growth<\/a> of electric vehicles. Oil imports have <a href=\"https:\/\/nepsetrading.com\/blog\/why-nepals-petroleum-imports-dropped-by-56-despite-high-demand-in-2025\">begun to fall<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<p>More recently, the Russia\u2013Ukraine war and US strikes on Venezuela and Iran have brought new focus on reducing oil imports and bolstering domestic energy security.<\/p>\n\n<p>In oil-dependent Cuba, US pressure <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/cuba-trump-oil-pressure\/\">has slashed<\/a> the supply of oil. Blackouts are common and cars stay put. In response, authorities and businesses are importing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/the-americas\/2026\/02\/26\/donald-trumps-oil-embargo-reveals-a-solar-boom-in-cuba\">34 times<\/a> as many Chinese solar panels as they did a year ago.<\/p>\n\n<p>It\u2019s not ideology driving this shift \u2013 it\u2019s necessity. Electric vehicle imports, too, are soaring. \u201cCuba may experience the fastest energy transition in the world,\u201d a Cuban economist told <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/the-americas\/2026\/02\/26\/donald-trumps-oil-embargo-reveals-a-solar-boom-in-cuba\">The Economist<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-why-renewables-change-the-equation\">Why renewables change the equation<\/h2>\n\n<p>Unlike oil, solar panels and wind turbines can avoid being shipped through <a href=\"https:\/\/maritime-executive.com\/article\/renewable-energy-to-have-far-reaching-geopolitical-effects\">maritime chokepoints<\/a> such as the Strait of Hormuz. Renewables are not traded in the same <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/publications\/fostering-effective-energy-transition-2025\/\">globally centralised<\/a> way. Power is generated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/renewables-2024\/electricity\">locally<\/a> and increasingly across many smaller sites.<\/p>\n\n<p>Russia has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cpwng25114ro\">long targeted<\/a> Ukraine\u2019s energy infrastructure and power plants during the war. In response, Ukraine is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/ukraines-energy-security-and-the-coming-winter\/ukraines-energy-system-under-attack\">ramping up renewables<\/a> as fast as possible, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/stories\/2026\/01\/frontline-security-energy-lessons-ukraine\/\">decentralised power generation<\/a> is much harder to destroy. As a Ukrainian energy expert <a href=\"https:\/\/e360.yale.edu\/features\/ukraine-war-renewable-energy\">told Yale360<\/a>, a single missile \u201ccould take out\u201d a coal power station, while a wind farm would require 40 missiles.<\/p>\n\n<p>Decentralised power is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/stories\/2025\/04\/clean-energy-resilience-uncertain-times\/\">more resilient<\/a>, meaning damage to one farm won\u2019t collapse the grid.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-resilience-through-electric-transport\">Resilience through electric transport<\/h2>\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/global-ev-outlook-2025\/outlook-for-energy-demand\">Electrification of transport<\/a> is a key plank of these new approaches to energy security.<\/p>\n\n<p>Electric vehicles powered by <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/latest-insights\/energy-security-in-an-insecure-world\/\">locally-produced electricity<\/a> reduce exposure to global oil markets. This thinking is visible in Ethiopia\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/newsletters\/2026-02-18\/ethiopia-s-radical-car-ban-led-to-an-ev-revolution\">decision<\/a> to ban new internal combustion cars.<\/p>\n\n<p>China imports most of its oil \u2013 much of it <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fdd.org\/analysis\/2025\/11\/19\/china-keeps-the-axis-of-aggressors-afloat-with-oil-imports\/#:%7E:text=Beijing%20continues%20to%20import%20oil,lower%20than%20its%20September%20level.\">from Iran<\/a>. Beijing has been accelerating its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2026\/jan\/29\/electric-cars-go-mainstream-as-adoption-surges-across-rich-and-developing-nations\">rapid shift<\/a> to electric vehicles. Last year, EVs made up <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eiu.com\/n\/blogs\/auto-2026-outlook\/\">50% of new cars<\/a> in China and 12% of the total fleet. China is increasingly using oil to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/commentaries\/oil-demand-for-fuels-in-china-has-reached-a-plateau\">make plastics<\/a>, not for transport. Last year\u2019s uptick in imports was due to stockpiling of <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Energy-General\/Chinas-Oil-Buying-Spree-May-Be-Running-Out-of-Steam.html\">huge volumes<\/a> amid global uncertainty.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-australia-s-exposure\">Australia\u2019s exposure<\/h2>\n\n<p>Australia imports the <a href=\"https:\/\/acapmag.com.au\/2025\/03\/57507\/\">vast majority<\/a> of its refined fuels. We would have about a <a href=\"https:\/\/app.powerbi.com\/view?r=eyJrIjoiY2RjYjUzYTMtMjBkZS00OGI1LWEyMWYtN2M3OGNmMzAzMTBjIiwidCI6IjA3MDk5MWRkLWNkYjctNDc2Zi04MGRjLWU4YzNhOTFjNzBhZiJ9\">month\u2019s worth<\/a> of petrol before we ran out.<\/p>\n\n<p>If wars <a href=\"https:\/\/ieefa.org\/resources\/australia-has-opportunities-protect-itself-global-energy-price-shocks\">drive up oil prices<\/a>, pain at the petrol pump will flow through to freight costs, food prices and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sbs.com.au\/news\/article\/russian-sanctions-oil-prices\/zlp3yj79y\">inflation<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<p>While the EV shift is accelerating, Australia is slow by global standards. Even as electricity rapidly <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/renewables-over-50-wholesale-prices-down-is-the-energy-transition-succeeding-274616\">goes green<\/a>, transport remains <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aaa.asn.au\/research-data\/electric-vehicle\/\">overwhelmingly dependent<\/a> on foreign oil. That leaves Australia exposed.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-energy-policy-is-security-policy\">Energy policy is security policy<\/h2>\n\n<p>Renewables do not eliminate geopolitical risk. Power grids face cyber threats. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/topics\/energy-security\">Critical mineral<\/a> supply chains introduce new dependencies \u2013 and much of today\u2019s solar panel, battery and EV manufacturing is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2025\/sep\/07\/china-fossil-fuel-us-climate-environment-energy\">concentrated in China<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<p>But there is a clear structural difference. Decentralised systems are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/publications\/fostering-effective-energy-transition-2025\/in-full\/redefining-global-energy-systems\/\">harder to manipulate<\/a> through supply chokepoints. Solar panels, once installed, generate energy locally. The vulnerability shifts from ongoing fuel imports to upfront manufacturing dependence.<\/p>\n\n<p>Oil has shaped global politics for decades because it\u2019s transportable, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1057\/s41599-024-03507-2\">globally traded<\/a> and only a few countries have large reserves.<\/p>\n\n<p>Reducing oil dependence is often framed as climate policy. But it is also vital to energy security and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/news\/geopolitical-tensions-are-laying-bare-fragilities-in-the-global-energy-system-reinforcing-need-for-faster-expansion-of-clean-energy\">national security<\/a>. Cutting oil use boosts <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/commentaries\/a-strong-focus-on-oil-security-will-be-critical-throughout-the-clean-energy-transition\">resilience<\/a> to shocks and reduces the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanprogress.org\/article\/declining-global-demand-for-oil-and-gas-benefits-americans-and-u-s-policy-can-accelerate-it\/\">leverage<\/a> of other nations.<\/p>\n\n<p>The Iran crisis may not lead to sustained price spikes. Supply may adjust. Markets may stabilise. But leaders will be rethinking the wisdom of exposure to globally traded oil in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/news\/amid-rising-geopolitical-strains-oil-markets-face-new-uncertainties-as-the-drivers-of-supply-and-demand-growth-shift\">volatile world<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/hussein-dia-110689\">Hussein Dia<\/a>, Professor of Transport Technology and Sustainability, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/swinburne-university-of-technology-767\">Swinburne University of Technology<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/the-strikes-on-iran-show-why-quitting-oil-is-more-important-than-ever-277192\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As Israel and the United States strike Iran, global oil markets are on edge. Oil prices have begun rising even before any disruption to supply. Oil traders are factoring in the possibility the Strait of Hormuz might close. Roughly 20% of the world\u2019s traded oil passes through this narrow waterway between Iran to the north [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":106,"featured_media":68902,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_planet4_optimize_post_is_variant":false,"_planet4_optimize_experiment_name":"","_planet4_optimize_variant_name":"","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"p4_og_title":"","p4_og_description":"","p4_og_image":"","p4_og_image_id":"","p4_seo_canonical_url":"","p4_campaign_name":"","p4_local_project":"","p4_basket_name":"","p4_department":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[26,43,51],"p4-page-type":[6],"class_list":["post-75948","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-greenpeace","tag-oil-and-gas","tag-peace","tag-politics","p4-page-type-story"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.8 (Yoast SEO v26.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The strikes on Iran show why quitting oil is more important than\u00a0ever<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/aotearoa\/story\/the-strikes-on-iran-show-why-quitting-oil-is-more-important-than-ever\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The strikes on Iran show why quitting oil is more important than\u00a0ever\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"As Israel and the United States strike Iran, global oil markets are on edge. Oil prices have begun rising even before any disruption to supply. Oil traders are factoring in the possibility the Strait of Hormuz might close. Roughly 20% of the world\u2019s traded oil passes through this narrow waterway between Iran to the north [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/aotearoa\/story\/the-strikes-on-iran-show-why-quitting-oil-is-more-important-than-ever\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Greenpeace Aotearoa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/greenpeace.nz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-03-04T00:46:51+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-03-04T19:08:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-aotearoa-stateless\/2025\/03\/f25f3690-gp0stsk5g_medium-res-with-credit-line-1200px.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"801\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" 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