{"id":789,"date":"2013-10-26T13:00:00","date_gmt":"2013-10-26T01:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/new-zealand\/press-release\/oil-on-the-sea-of-our-souls-the-delusion-of-deep-sea-drilling\/"},"modified":"2024-07-12T15:49:53","modified_gmt":"2024-07-12T03:49:53","slug":"oil-on-the-sea-of-our-souls-the-delusion-of-deep-sea-drilling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/aotearoa\/story\/oil-on-the-sea-of-our-souls-the-delusion-of-deep-sea-drilling\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil on the Sea of our Souls: The Delusion of Deep-Sea Drilling."},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-content\">\n<div>\n<p><em>\u201cThere is nothing more frightful than ignorance in action\u201d \u2013 Goethe<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The charge of ignorance is not one I would level lightly. Ours is a complex world and people act for a variety of reasons; it is at the core of a liberal perspective to respect these \u2013 but even liberal tolerance has its limits. These aren\u2019t arbitrary limits or the decree of some paternalistic dictator \u2013 but the very real limits of biological systems, set by Mother Nature herself.\u00a0It doesn\u2019t matter what the supposed economic benefit are: the ongoing pursuit of deep-sea oil by Messrs Key and co. flies in the face of all available evidence. This isn\u2019t open to interpretation or only the\u00a0domain of a small subset of society, but a key \u2013 the key &#8211;\u00a0issue of our day. Climate change is no longer a problem that we can leave to \u201cfuture generations\u201d \u2013 it is happening and it is happening right now. As the most recent report of the UN\u2019s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change shows, our continuing adherence to fossil fuel extraction now leads us dangerously close to collapse.<\/p>\n<p>The maths is very simple. Our world is warming and we are playing a significant role. If we are to have a 50% chance of keeping warming within the 2\u00b0C limit set at the latest climate negotiations in Copenhagen then the entire global budget for carbon emissions gives us only 15-25 years to adapt (depending on which estimate you use). Recent evidence \u00a0suggests that the agreed limit of 2\u00b0C may be far too conservative, with many scientists predicting increases in excess of 4\u00b0C if we fail to check our current trajectory.\u00a0We\u2019ve already warmed up 0.8\u00b0C and the impacts have far exceeded those predicted. If the average temperature goes up 4\u00b0C it won\u2019t just mean you can ditch your winter coat. It will mean heat waves, droughts, fires and storms \u2013 with huge loss of life \u2013 and yes John, the economy will take a hit too. This isn\u2019t a political issue, but a human one. Bill McKibbon points out that the amount of carbon in the existing coal, oil and gas reserves of fossil fuel companies is more than five times higher than the allocated budget we need to stay within to stay within the two degree limit. So why are we still searching?<\/p>\n<p>When a National Government enacted the Resource Management Act in 1991 it was groundbreaking, establishing New Zealand as a world leader for our domestic focus on sustainability and its emphasis on the interrelation between economy and environment. However the years subsequent have seen a blossoming of ignorance in those tasked with governing us, with this key dependency sidelined in the push for economic growth. Our current government only continues this trend, albeit in spectacular fashion \u2013 removing the right to protest oil exploration at sea while claiming it as the solution to our modest economic woes.<\/p>\n<p>If the above isn\u2019t enough to convince you of the institutionalized lunacy running our country then Greenpeace\u2019s recently launched oil spill model might be just the thing to push you over the edge. Frustrated with the lack of communication from the companies granted exploration permits (Anardarko refused to release their own modeling) Greenpeace took the matter into their own hands, hiring experts and using industry standards to model the likely effects of oil spills from the two exploratory wells going in this summer. That\u2019s right \u2013 going in. This is happening, in our backyard, with the Government\u2019s assent.<\/p>\n<p>As the models show, even conservative estimate of flow rates and recovery times leave our marine environment decimated. The reach of a potential spill is vast and its downstream effects considerable \u2013 and not just for our marine life.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/vLiwk9rK-3E?feature=player_embedded\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"\"><\/iframe>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Aucklanders speak fondly of the mythical West Coast beaches, and a hot summer day sees thousands make the pilgrimage out to Piha and Muriwai. This is nigh on our right as New Zealanders: a joyous habit engrained in our national psyche. But 95% of the spill models see these beaches impacted within two weeks of a spill (with the most conservative estimate requiring 76 days to stop a spill \u2013 saying nothing about the extra time and cost of clean up). This won\u2019t just affect those with a penchant for black sand and burnt feet; the desolation of our West Coast would see the East overrun and Omaha even more overloaded than it currently is. Kaipara Harbour too takes a hit \u2013 with the impacts in the main spawning site for snapper likely to be felt by fishermen all round the country.<\/p>\n<p>While these are all only probabilities, the question has to be asked \u2013 do we as a nation really want to be gambling with our environment? Because make no mistake, gambling is exactly what these companies are doing. The seas around New Zealand are notoriously rough, but unlike the rigs in the North Sea, we are thousands of kilometres \u2013 a literal world away \u2013 from the infrastructure support necessary to contain a spill. It doesn\u2019t matter how stringent the permitting process is. The sea is a mysterious, dangerous place and exploration is inherently risky.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/aotearoa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/gPvsEvYD2XAAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\">\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>Predicted spill at the 76 day mark \u2013 where conservative estimates suggest the spill might be stopped.<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>The precautionary principle is a concept from international law that emphasises care and foresight in the face of an uncertain environmental future. In the case of serious or irreversible harm, it states that incomplete or inconclusive scientific knowledge shouldn\u2019t be used as a reason for proceeding. But that is exactly what our government is doing, and doing in a deliberate fashion. The decision to refer to a \u201ccautious approach\u201d instead of a \u201cprecautionary approach\u201d in the recent EEZ legislation was a very conscious one, drawing criticism from the New Zealand Law Society and demonstrating the evasive means National will use to achieve dubious economic ends.<\/p>\n<p>National rely on royalties, with 42c in the every dollar of profit coming back to New Zealand \u2013 crucially requiring that for us to benefit as a country these companies must first make a profit. But as McKibbon\u2019s figures show, the existing supply of oil far exceeds the demand we can sustain. Finding more oil won\u2019t create more wealth for New Zealand; it\u2019s us backing a sinking ship at huge risk to us and our environment.\u00a0The precautionary principal couldn\u2019t be more applicable. The effects of drilling in our waters are unknown and the risks, both economic and environmental, considerable. We know what burning any discovered oil will do \u2013 and yet National continues on as if this is opposition policy, rather than concrete science.<\/p>\n<p>We can no longer stand by while our government plays economy off against environment, as if one could be divorced from the other.\u00a0The obsession with fossil fuels as a free ride to economic prosperity ignores all evidence to the contrary. Not only is deep-sea drilling an outdated business model, gambling on stock that we don\u2019t have the environmental capital to convert, but there are very real risks for the thousands of New Zealanders who make sea worship our national religion.\u00a0While future generations and other forms of life all stand to be negatively impacted (and certainly deserve our consideration), this is an issue that can be determined on purely anthropocentric grounds. Climate change is happening in our lifetime and we have the power to stop it.\u00a0Better for our environment doesn\u2019t mean worse for us. In the language of economists, this isn\u2019t a zero-sum gain, where improvements for one result in decreases for the other.\u00a0As economic analyst Rod Oram notes, New Zealand is well placed to be lead the world in the development of renewable energy, biofuel and sustainable food. We have alternatives \u2013 so why are we chasing yesteryear\u2019s model?<\/p>\n<p>Treating our environment right requires more than ignorance permits. We need to face up to this momentous challenge as one, and refuse Government rhetoric to the contrary.\u00a0Even if the terrifying future the models predict doesn\u2019t eventuate, deep-sea drilling is still a dead horse. It\u2019s high time we stopped flogging it.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"New Zealand Oil Spill Map\" src=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/aotearoa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/89489_144414.jpg\" alt=\"New Zealand Oil Spill Map\" width=\"476\" height=\"316\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\">\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">(Image from\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.travelphotoadventures.com\/category\/piha\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">http:\/\/www.travelphotoadventures.com\/category\/piha\/<\/a>)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>Want to learn more?<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Check out Greenpeace\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/oilspillmap.org.nz\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">oil spill map site<\/a>, where you can overlay fisheries and the range of some of our marine life \u2013 demonstrating the full reach of the impact.<\/li>\n<li>Read Rod Oram\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.stuff.co.nz\/business\/opinion-analysis\/9271373\/Fuelled-by-adversity\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">article<\/a>\u00a0on how New Zealand could be a economic world leader by moving away from fossil fuels.<\/li>\n<li>Or Peter Dunne\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.scoop.co.nz\/stories\/PA1310\/S00354\/greenpeace-warning-sobering-and-timely.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">take<\/a>\u2026 and for those skeptical about the modeling, check\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/aotearoa\/en\/blog\/scaremongering-well-it-is-if-you-make-things-\/blog\/47089\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">this reply<\/a>\u00a0to the industry\u2019s (fallacious) claim that the results are based on \u201cunrealistic\u201d flow rates\u2026<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Interested in avoiding these possible results?<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Let\u2019s get vocal. Talk to your friends and family \u2013 do they know about the facts of climate change and the institutional bodies that ignore them while the situation worsens? Empowerment begins with education:\u00a0Greenpeace have more info at their \u201cGet Free\u201d campaign\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.getfree.org.nz\/get-active-and-get-free\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">website<\/a>\u00a0(which I wrote about\u00a0<a title=\"Deep-Sea Drilling and the Nuclear Free Protests: Time to Get\u00a0Free?\" href=\"http:\/\/elhombredelsur.com\/2013\/09\/08\/deep-sea-drilling-and-the-nuclear-free-protests-time-to-get-free\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>) and for those interested in the science,\u00a0Bill McKibbon (of 350.org) has an excellent article describing the \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.rollingstone.com\/politics\/news\/global-warmings-terrifying-new-math-20120719\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">global warming\u2019s terrifying new math<\/a>\u201d \u2013 providing concrete evidence of the \u201ccarbon bubble\u201d: undermining claims oil will produce any economic benefit while demonstrating the very real impacts of climate change that these models perpetuate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8211; Dan Kelly is a student <a href=\"http:\/\/elhombredelsur.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">blogger<\/a>, with a clear focus on law, sustainability and promoting positive alternatives<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/elhombre_delsur\" class=\"twitter-follow-button\" data-show-count=\"false\" data-size=\"large\">Follow @elhombre_delsur<\/a><br \/>\n<script>!function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=\/^http:\/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+':\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js';fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, 'script', 'twitter-wjs');<\/script>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cThere is nothing more frightful than ignorance in action\u201d \u2013 Goethe<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":1539,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_planet4_optimize_post_is_variant":false,"_planet4_optimize_experiment_name":"","_planet4_optimize_variant_name":"","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"p4_og_title":"","p4_og_description":"","p4_og_image":"","p4_og_image_id":"","p4_seo_canonical_url":"","p4_campaign_name":"","p4_local_project":"","p4_basket_name":"","p4_department":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[26],"p4-page-type":[6],"class_list":["post-789","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-greenpeace","tag-oil-and-gas","p4-page-type-story"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.8 (Yoast SEO v26.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Oil on the Sea of our Souls: The Delusion of Deep-Sea Drilling.<\/title>\n<meta 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