Monsoon Wager

Publication - 4 June, 2009
Science increasingly suggests that climate change will affect the pattern of the Indian monsoon, on which 60 percent of Indian crops, one third of GDP and 70 percent of the population depend.

Executive summary: There are still considerable uncertainties as to how climate change will affect the Indian monsoon, however, science increasingly suggests impacts will be felt. Some models predict significantly more rainfall, and more extreme storms. But how will this affect the 70 percent of India's population whose livelihoods depend on crops fed by monsoon rains, and the larger population's food security? Current understanding of the likely affects - including floods and drought - are discussed and stronger and more urgent measures to cut carbon emissions and reign in climate change are called for.

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Number of pages: 16