{"id":14400,"date":"2021-08-09T10:07:59","date_gmt":"2021-08-09T09:07:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/?p=14400"},"modified":"2021-12-01T13:30:26","modified_gmt":"2021-12-01T12:30:26","slug":"nova-zprava-ipcc-stale-povazuje-cil-parizske-dohody-za-dosazitelny-z-klimatu-se-ale-musi-stat-prioritni-tema-svetove-politiky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/clanek\/14400\/nova-zprava-ipcc-stale-povazuje-cil-parizske-dohody-za-dosazitelny-z-klimatu-se-ale-musi-stat-prioritni-tema-svetove-politiky\/","title":{"rendered":"Nov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va IPCC st\u00e1le pova\u017euje c\u00edl Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody za dosa\u017eiteln\u00fd, z klimatu se ale mus\u00ed st\u00e1t prioritn\u00ed t\u00e9ma sv\u011btov\u00e9 politiky"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

C\u00edl Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody udr\u017eet zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed teploty do konce stolet\u00ed pod 2 \u00b0C a co nejbl\u00ed\u017ee k hodnot\u011b 1,5 \u00b0C je podle nov\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00edho panelu pro zm\u011bnu klimatu (IPCC) st\u00e1le je\u0161t\u011b re\u00e1ln\u00fd. P\u0159edpokladem je ale rychl\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed emis\u00ed v souladu s n\u00e1vrhy Zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy k \u00a0oteplen\u00ed o 1,5 \u00b0C z roku 2018. Ve t\u00e9 IPCC varuje, \u017ee podm\u00ednkou dosa\u017een\u00ed c\u00edl\u016f Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody je omezen\u00ed celosv\u011btov\u00fdch emis\u00ed o polovinu do roku 2030 a d\u00e1le na tzv. \u010distou nulu do roku 2050<\/strong>. To je ale v p\u0159\u00edkr\u00e9m rozporu s\u00a0aktu\u00e1ln\u00edm v\u00fdvojem. Uhl\u00edkov\u00fd rozpo\u010det, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 lidstvo podle z\u00e1v\u011br\u016f IPCC od 1. ledna 2020 je\u0161t\u011b k dispozici, \u010din\u00ed 400 miliard tun CO2<\/sub>. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tolik CO2<\/sub> lze je\u0161t\u011b vypustit do atmosf\u00e9ry, abychom zajistili 67% pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee se pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed teplota nezv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed do konce tohoto stolet\u00ed o v\u00edc ne\u017e o 1,5 \u00b0C. Bez v\u00fdrazn\u00e9ho omezen\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00fdch emis\u00ed ale lidstvo zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed uhl\u00edkov\u00fd rozpo\u010det spot\u0159ebuje u\u017e kolem roku 2030.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n

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Tiskov\u00e1 konference k vyd\u00e1n\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy IPCC. (c) Greenpeace – Zuzana Arnadov\u00e1<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n

Zmi\u0148uje to pr\u00e1v\u011b zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e1 prvn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st 6. hodnot\u00edc\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00edho panelu OSN pro zm\u011bnu klimatu<\/strong> (The Sixth IPCC Assessment Report, AR6<\/em><\/a>): Fyzik\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1klady pracovn\u00ed skupiny I (The Physical Science Basis of the Working Group I)<\/em><\/a>. AR6 IPCC vyjde postupn\u011b ve \u010dty\u0159ech \u010d\u00e1stech. Po dnes zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9 prvn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti vyjde \u010d\u00e1st druh\u00e1 a t\u0159et\u00ed v \u00fanoru, resp. b\u0159eznu 2022. Druh\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st se bude v\u011bnovat adaptac\u00edm, dopad\u016fm a zranitelnosti a \u010d\u00e1st t\u0159et\u00ed mitigaci (zm\u00edr\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed) zm\u011bny klimatu. \u010ctvrtou \u010d\u00e1st tvo\u0159\u00ed tzv. Souhrnn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va (Synthesis Report<\/em>), vyd\u00e1na bude v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2022.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n

Zpr\u00e1va pracovn\u00ed skupiny I – Fyzik\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1klady byla dnes zve\u0159ejn\u011bna v \u017denev\u011b. Pod\u00edlelo se na n\u00ed 234 autor\u016f (z toho asi \u2153 nov\u00fdch, 72 % mu\u017e\u016f a 59 % autor\u016f z rozvinut\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f), obsahuje v\u00edc ne\u017e 14 tis\u00edc citac\u00ed a v pr\u016fb\u011bhu jej\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpravy bylo vzneseno celkem 78 007 p\u0159ipom\u00ednek expert\u016f a z\u00e1stupc\u016f vl\u00e1d. [1]<\/p>\n\n

V Praze byla zpr\u00e1va IPCC p\u0159edstavena na tiskov\u00e9 konferenci, kterou spole\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ipravily Komise pro \u017eivotn\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed AV \u010cR, Centrum pro ot\u00e1zky \u017eivotn\u00edho prost\u0159ed\u00ed UK, Informa\u010dn\u00ed centrum OSN v Praze a U\u010den\u00e1 spole\u010dnost \u010cR. Hlavn\u00ed z\u00e1v\u011bry zpr\u00e1vy prezentoval z\u00e1stupce \u010ceska v IPCC Radim Tolasz z \u010cHM\u00da<\/strong>, sv\u016fj \u00fahel pohledu k uveden\u00fdm z\u00e1v\u011br\u016fm p\u0159edstavili klimatolog Pavel Zahradn\u00ed\u010dek z CzechGlobe<\/strong> – \u00dastavu pro v\u00fdzkum glob\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bny AV \u010cR, ekolo\u017eka Marie \u0160aback\u00e1 z Centra pol\u00e1rn\u00ed ekologie J\u010cU<\/strong> a Ondr\u00e1\u0161 P\u0159ibyla z projektu Fakta o klimatu<\/strong>. Moder\u00e1torkou tiskov\u00e9 konference byla zn\u00e1m\u00e1 meteorolo\u017eka a redaktorka \u010cesk\u00e9 televize Ta\u0165\u00e1na M\u00edkov\u00e1<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n

IPCC ve zpr\u00e1v\u011b potvrzuje, \u017ee prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed zm\u011bna klimatu i \u0161irok\u00e9 spektrum extr\u00e9m\u016f po\u010das\u00ed jsou d\u016fsledkem lidsk\u00e9 \u010dinnosti<\/strong>. Konkretizuje r\u016fzn\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e budouc\u00edho v\u00fdvoje. Oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00ed P\u00e1t\u00e9 hodnot\u00edc\u00ed zpr\u00e1v\u011b IPCC (AR5) z roku 2013 se detailn\u011bji v\u011bnuje projev\u016fm klimatick\u00e9 zm\u011bny na region\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00farovni.<\/p>\n\n

N\u011bkter\u00e9 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed a negativn\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 zm\u011bny u\u017e podle IPCC nelze ovlivnit. Bez ohledu na to, jak\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch letech p\u0159ijmeme, budou i nad\u00e1le t\u00e1t ledovce, pokra\u010dovat acidifikace oce\u00e1n\u016f a stoupat hladina sv\u011btov\u00e9ho oce\u00e1nu<\/strong>. Do roku 2100 se zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed nejm\u00e9n\u011b o 28 cm. Dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eitou skute\u010dnost\u00ed je, \u017ee klimatick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f u\u017e nelze dos\u00e1hnout bez p\u0159\u00edsn\u00e9 ochrany a regenerace p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch ekosyst\u00e9m\u016f. <\/p>\n\n

Nov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va IPCC vych\u00e1z\u00ed \u010dtvrt roku p\u0159ed 26. konferenc\u00ed OSN o klimatu (COP26) ve skotsk\u00e9m Glasgow. C\u00edlem COP26 (Conference of Parties<\/em>) je ohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed nov\u00fdch a zp\u0159\u00edsn\u011bn\u00fdch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch z\u00e1vazk\u016f <\/strong>(Nationally Determined Commitments, NDCs<\/em>) jednotliv\u00fdch zem\u00ed ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s p\u016fvodn\u00edmi z\u00e1vazky, je\u017e si st\u00e1ty stanovily v r\u00e1mci p\u0159ijet\u00ed Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody. Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed sv\u011bt k oteplen\u00ed o 2,4 \u00b0C. [2] Podm\u00ednkou dosa\u017een\u00ed klimatick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f je bezodkladn\u00e1 a intenzivn\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00farovni<\/strong>. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 desetina stupn\u011b, o kterou se kone\u010dn\u00e9 oteplen\u00ed poda\u0159\u00ed \u010di nepoda\u0159\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017eit, bude m\u00edt pro budoucnost lidsk\u00e9 civilizace na Zemi z\u00e1sadn\u00ed v\u00fdznam.<\/p>\n\n

Radim \u0160r\u00e1m<\/strong>, p\u0159edseda Komise pro \u017eivotn\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed Akademie v\u011bd \u010cR, \u0159ekl: \u201cIPCC potvrzuje, \u017ee klimatick\u00e1 zm\u011bna postupuje kv\u016fli lidsk\u00e9 \u010dinnosti velmi rychle. Pokud budeme jen p\u0159ihl\u00ed\u017eet, poneseme v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 d\u016fsledky i v dopadech na zdrav\u00ed lid\u00ed.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n\n

Radim Tolasz<\/strong>, klimatolog \u010cHM\u00da a z\u00e1stupce \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky v IPCC, uv\u00e1d\u00ed: \u201cAtmosf\u00e9ra, oce\u00e1ny, \u0159eky, lesy, pole, ale i \u010dlov\u011bk jsou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed zm\u011bny klimatu. Ale jen \u010dlov\u011bk m\u016f\u017ee sv\u00e9 chov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u011bdom\u011b zm\u011bnit a klimatu tak pomoci.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n\n

Ta\u0165\u00e1na M\u00edkov\u00e1<\/strong> z \u010cesk\u00e9 televize uv\u00e1d\u00ed: \u201cZm\u011bna klimatu neohro\u017euje na\u0161i planetu, ta u\u017e se v historii vypo\u0159\u00e1dala se spoustou pohrom od p\u00e1du meteor\u016f a\u017e po obrovsk\u00e9 v\u00fdbuchy sopek. V\u017edycky na to doplatili hlavn\u011b jej\u00ed obyvatel\u00e9: lid\u00e9, dinosau\u0159i\u2026 Se zm\u011bnou klimatu je to stejn\u00e9.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n\n

Pavel Zahradn\u00ed\u010dek<\/strong>, klimatolog CzechGlobe: „Klimatick\u00e1 zm\u011bna je bezesporu nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed environment\u00e1ln\u00ed hrozba sou\u010dasnosti, ale je to tak\u00e9 velk\u00e1 technologick\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost.<\/em>„<\/p>\n\n

Jitka Mart\u00ednkov\u00e1<\/strong> z Klimatick\u00e9 koalice \u0159ekla: \u201cProjevy klimatick\u00e9 krize vid\u00edme ve sv\u011bt\u011b \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l \u010dast\u011bji. Nov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va IPCC je d\u016frazn\u00fdm varov\u00e1n\u00edm v\u011bdc\u016f, \u017ee n\u00e1\u0161 uhl\u00edkov\u00fd rozpo\u010det i prostor k \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed se rychle zten\u010duj\u00ed. Te\u010f pot\u0159ebujeme bezodkladnou politickou reakci, kter\u00e1 sv\u011bt nasm\u011bruje k dosa\u017een\u00ed c\u00edle Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody. Odv\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 a n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed mohou b\u00fdt nakonec v\u00fdhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dal\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1len\u00ed.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n\n

Michal Bro\u017ea<\/strong>, vedouc\u00ed kancel\u00e1\u0159e OSN pro \u010cesko: \u201cJedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f OSN pro leto\u0161n\u00ed rok je vytvo\u0159en\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed koalice pro uhl\u00edkovou neutralitu. \u0160\u00e9f Spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f Guterres vyzval politick\u00e9 l\u00eddry, aby do jej\u00edho dosa\u017een\u00ed vyhl\u00e1sili ve sv\u00fdch st\u00e1tech stav klimatick\u00e9 nouze.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n

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C\u00edl Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody udr\u017eet zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed teploty do konce stolet\u00ed pod 2 \u00b0C a co nejbl\u00ed\u017ee k hodnot\u011b 1,5 \u00b0C je podle nov\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00edho panelu pro zm\u011bnu klimatu…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":14405,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"p4_og_title":"","p4_og_description":"","p4_og_image":"","p4_og_image_id":"","p4_seo_canonical_url":"","p4_campaign_name":"not set","p4_local_project":"not set","p4_basket_name":"not set","p4_department":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[20],"p4-page-type":[16],"class_list":["post-14400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-priroda","tag-zmena-klimatu","p4-page-type-clanek"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14400","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/27"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14400"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14400\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15360,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14400\/revisions\/15360"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14405"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14400"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14400"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14400"},{"taxonomy":"p4-page-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/p4-page-type?post=14400"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}