{"id":15177,"date":"2021-11-02T08:51:29","date_gmt":"2021-11-02T07:51:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/?p=15177"},"modified":"2021-12-01T13:30:14","modified_gmt":"2021-12-01T12:30:14","slug":"zbavit-se-emisi-sklenikovych-plynu-nebude-jednoduche-ale-jde-to","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/clanek\/15177\/zbavit-se-emisi-sklenikovych-plynu-nebude-jednoduche-ale-jde-to\/","title":{"rendered":"Zbavit se emis\u00ed sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f nebude jednoduch\u00e9, ale jde to"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Srpnov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00edho panelu pro zm\u011bnu klimatu IPCC p\u0159ipom\u011bla sv\u011btu, \u017ee n\u00e1r\u016fst teploty o n\u011bkolik stup\u0148\u016f by pak m\u011bl po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b nen\u00e1vratn\u00e9 katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed dopady, kter\u00e9 by se nevyhnuly ani st\u0159edn\u00ed Evrop\u011b. Pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed emis\u00ed sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f p\u0159edstavuje velkou v\u00fdzvu pro cel\u00fd sv\u011bt v podob\u011b pot\u0159eby v\u00fdrazn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eit emise sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f ve v\u0161ech oblastech lidsk\u00e9 \u010dinnosti. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>\u010cesk\u00e1 republika pat\u0159\u00ed k zem\u00edm s vysok\u00fdmi emisemi sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f, v r\u00e1mci Evropsk\u00e9 unie m\u00e1me t\u0159et\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed emise na obyvatele a tak\u00e9 n\u00e1\u0161 historick\u00fd p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek k oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed planety jako dlouhodob\u011b vysoce pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 zem\u011b je velmi v\u00fdznamn\u00fd. Jako sou\u010d\u00e1st EU sd\u00edl\u00ed \u010cesk\u00e1 republika c\u00edl sn\u00ed\u017eit v Evrop\u011b do roku 2030 emise sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f o 55 % (oproti 1990), do roku 2050 pak dos\u00e1hnout klimatick\u00e9 neutrality.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2021\/11\/3f8097fc-2h7a6421-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15180\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2021\/11\/3f8097fc-2h7a6421-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2021\/11\/3f8097fc-2h7a6421-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2021\/11\/3f8097fc-2h7a6421-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2021\/11\/3f8097fc-2h7a6421-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2021\/11\/3f8097fc-2h7a6421-2048x1366.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2021\/11\/3f8097fc-2h7a6421-510x340.jpg 510w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Ji\u0159\u00ed Je\u0159\u00e1bek p\u0159edstavuje Energetickou revoluci (c) Greenpeace &#8211; Kry\u0161tof Zvol\u00e1nek<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<p>Spole\u010dn\u011b s Hnut\u00edm DUHA p\u0159edstavujeme studii Energetick\u00e1 revoluce, kter\u00e1&nbsp; potvrzuje proveditelnost ukon\u010den\u00ed spalov\u00e1n\u00ed uhl\u00ed v \u010cR do roku 2030 a dos\u00e1hnout nulov\u00fdch emis\u00ed sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f, tj. bez uhl\u00ed, ropy i plynu v roce 2050. Nechali jsme si ud\u011blat modelov\u00e1n\u00ed u dvou zahrani\u010dn\u00edch energetick\u00fdch institut\u016f: australsk\u00e9ho Institute for Sustainable Futures p\u0159i University of Technology v Sydney a n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho Aurora Energy Research. Modely zahrnuj\u00ed krom\u011b v\u00fdroby elekt\u0159iny i kompletn\u00ed v\u00fdrobu tepla v \u010cR a tak\u00e9 sektor dopravy. Zohled\u0148uje aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e1 a ekonomick\u00e1 data, vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u011bdeck\u00e9 a technologick\u00e9 pozn\u00e1n\u00ed, bere v \u00favahu mo\u017en\u00e9 zm\u011bny legislativy i dostupn\u00e9 predikce v\u00fdvoje v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch letech. Ve studii m\u00e1me t\u0159i sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e. Prvn\u00ed &#8211; referen\u010dn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 &#8211; zohled\u0148uje st\u00e1tn\u00ed energetick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny z roku 2019. Z\u00e1kladn\u00ed&nbsp; dekarboniza\u010dn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 p\u0159edstavuje \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00fd \u00fatlum fosiln\u00edch paliv a&nbsp; pokro\u010dil\u00fd dekarboniza\u010dn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 dosahuje nulov\u00e9ho spalov\u00e1n\u00ed fosiln\u00edch paliv.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Emise sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f<\/h2>\n\n<p>Modely ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee pokud \u010cR bude intenzivn\u011b rozv\u00edjet obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje energie a technologie pro skladov\u00e1n\u00ed elekt\u0159iny a z\u00e1rove\u0148 investovat do energetick\u00fdch \u00faspor, transformace sektoru v\u00fdroby tepla a dopravy, je mo\u017en\u00e9 se dostat na pomyslnou nulu emis\u00ed sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f z t\u011bchto energetick\u00fdch sektor\u016f. Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017een emis\u00ed je mo\u017en\u00e9 dos\u00e1hnout u\u017e v roce 2030. Studie se nicm\u00e9n\u011b t\u00fdk\u00e1 jen emis\u00ed CO2 ze spalovac\u00edch proces\u016f a nezahrnuje dal\u0161\u00edch sklen\u00edkov\u00e9 plyny.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/D0CEFIZstruwudMfFfRJnuOWJrIVn99p6jZo9P7jMuE3uN5PAgl8ErgdVbJBkc2wV22yeKrvnxyifi0ghL07JzbN4HVBjgxsGmOquipSFrmzEmrZ44mBVHvi0X-WZjmRDN662X3s\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Modelov\u00e1n\u00ed&nbsp; budoucnosti<\/h2>\n\n<p>Stejn\u011b jako jak\u00e9koliv dal\u0161\u00ed studie a sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e budouc\u00edho v\u00fdvoje budoucnosti se tyto modely mohou v mnoha ohledech m\u00fdlit. N\u011bkdy je technologick\u00fd pokrok mnohem rychlej\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e kdokoliv o\u010dek\u00e1val (nap\u0159. u d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch odhad\u016f celosv\u011btov\u00e9ho rozvoje fotovoltaiky), jindy je v\u00fdvoj pomalej\u0161\u00ed (nap\u0159\u00edklad v oblasti energetick\u00e9 efektivity) a t\u011b\u017eko se p\u0159edv\u00eddaj\u00ed skokov\u00e9 zm\u011bny, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad sou\u010dasn\u00e1 krize ceny plynu. Proto tak\u00e9 ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1me, \u017ee p\u0159esn\u011b touto cestou se m\u00e1 \u010cR vydat. Sama studie ukazuje, \u017ee v roce 2050 by velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed v\u011btrn\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren \u010di biomasy mohlo b\u00fdt v konfliktu s pot\u0159ebou ochrany p\u0159\u00edrody a biodiverzity. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 si tak\u00e9 klademe ot\u00e1zku, zda je uhl\u00edkov\u00e9 neutrality mo\u017en\u00e9 v\u016fbec dos\u00e1hnout p\u0159i sou\u010dasn\u00e9m zachov\u00e1n\u00ed ekonomiky postaven\u00e9 na trval\u00e9m r\u016fstu a zda nen\u00ed vhodn\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00fd model upravit tak, aby se sn\u00ed\u017eila jeho n\u00e1ro\u010dnost na vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed zdroj\u016f, zat\u00edmco by z\u016fstala zachov\u00e1na kvalita \u017eivota a dostupnost slu\u017eeb.<\/p>\n\n<p>V\u00fdstupy modelov\u00e1n\u00ed pokro\u010dil\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee v sektoru v\u00fdroby elekt\u0159iny n\u00e1r\u016fst obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f postupn\u011b nahrazuje uhl\u00ed kolem roku 2030 a postupn\u011b i fosiln\u00ed plyn. Kolem roku 2040 se sni\u017euje pod\u00edl jadern\u00e9 energie (kon\u010d\u00ed nejstar\u0161\u00ed jadern\u00e1 elektr\u00e1rna Dukovany) a tak\u00e9 se na sc\u00e9n\u011b objevuje vod\u00edk a dovozy elekt\u0159iny. Sice ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u00edch modelujeme energetick\u00e9 \u00faspory, ale jak je vid\u011bt, i tak spot\u0159eba elekt\u0159iny stoup\u00e1. Spot\u0159ebu zvy\u0161uje o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1 v\u00fdroba zelen\u00e9ho vod\u00edku pro sez\u00f3nn\u00ed akumulaci elekt\u0159iny,&nbsp; t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 kompletn\u00ed transformace silni\u010dn\u00ed dopravy na elektromobilitu a tak\u00e9 spot\u0159eba tepeln\u00fdch \u010derpadel pro vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed dom\u016f. Dovozy elekt\u0159iny pak v roce 2050 d\u011blaj\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b desetinu z celkov\u00e9 pot\u0159eby. Na druhou stranu se v tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i \u010cR zbavila kompletn\u011b dovozu plynu, ropy a \u010d\u00e1sti jadern\u00e9ho paliva, tak\u017ee celkov\u00e1 z\u00e1vislost na dovozech v energetice klesla.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh4.googleusercontent.com\/5lT0ncvC-2UpMNA-vYIlxfnrcXC9VNHTE-Ts6qDPjcLzGwhI00SbRMIImhWqAW8jxxJjClsQW565bpmdKJFZyMt3utZzsX6tQmU4lv-Q36ZeTREa993vHEJdxtU4Zp7xEW-ycwLq\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n<p>Sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed v\u00fdstup\u016f modelov\u00e1n\u00ed je i pr\u016fb\u011bh elektrick\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b b\u011bhem ka\u017ed\u00e9 hodiny cel\u00e9ho roku. N\u00ed\u017ee je vid\u011bt uk\u00e1zka takov\u00e9ho pr\u016fb\u011bhu v kv\u011btnu roku 2050. Horn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st grafu ukazuje v\u00fdrobn\u00ed zdroje a doln\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st grafu je pro ilustraci ukazuje kolik elekt\u0159iny a kdy spot\u0159ebuj\u00ed nap\u0159. tepeln\u00e1 \u010derpadla, baterie \u010di elektromobily.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh4.googleusercontent.com\/nGscTtszRsQSAjUARjo18mWfQgMQ2RdGvIlIMj2ih5_OmkfNRY9kiqP7-xehiUFmFEEWf9T3Pm78a8-PmxUJ_ppFPhUveVyQs2PB9c86lfsgYF3B4VhIsJOeAaFvsq518uzoC07L\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n<p>Pro v\u00edce podrobnost\u00ed si st\u00e1hn\u011bte <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2021\/11\/add583ee-energeticka-revoluce-10-29.pdf\">celou na\u0161i studii<\/a>, nebo se pod\u00edvejte<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/events\/923506671602381\/\"> na webin\u00e1\u0159 Akademie Greenpeace na Facebooku, kde studii p\u0159edstavujem<\/a>e.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"EmptyMessage\">Block content is empty. Check the block&#8217;s settings or remove it.<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Srpnov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00edho panelu pro zm\u011bnu klimatu IPCC p\u0159ipom\u011bla sv\u011btu, \u017ee n\u00e1r\u016fst teploty o n\u011bkolik stup\u0148\u016f by pak m\u011bl po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b nen\u00e1vratn\u00e9 katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed dopady, kter\u00e9 by se nevyhnuly ani st\u0159edn\u00ed Evrop\u011b.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":15179,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"p4_og_title":"","p4_og_description":"","p4_og_image":"","p4_og_image_id":"","p4_seo_canonical_url":"","p4_campaign_name":"not set","p4_local_project":"not set","p4_basket_name":"not set","p4_department":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[20,25],"p4-page-type":[16],"class_list":["post-15177","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energeticka-revoluce","tag-zmena-klimatu","tag-konec-doby-fosilni","p4-page-type-clanek"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15177","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15177"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15177\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15334,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15177\/revisions\/15334"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15179"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15177"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15177"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15177"},{"taxonomy":"p4-page-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/p4-page-type?post=15177"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}