{"id":21597,"date":"2025-02-13T12:25:06","date_gmt":"2025-02-13T11:25:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/?p=21597"},"modified":"2025-02-13T12:25:12","modified_gmt":"2025-02-13T11:25:12","slug":"cile-parizske-dohody-nejde-splnit-bez-ambicioznich-narodnich-klimatickych-planu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/clanek\/21597\/cile-parizske-dohody-nejde-splnit-bez-ambicioznich-narodnich-klimatickych-planu\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u00edle Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody nejde splnit bez ambici\u00f3zn\u00edch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Existuj\u00ed momenty v historii, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 body zlomu \u2013 a rok 2025 m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jedn\u00edm z nich v boji proti klimatick\u00e9 krizi. Pr\u00e1v\u011b letos Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e1 dohoda slav\u00ed 10 let a z\u00e1rove\u0148 nast\u00e1v\u00e1 term\u00edn pro p\u0159edlo\u017een\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f pro rok 2035 Organizaci spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f.<\/p>\n\n<p>Co jsou ale tyto klimatick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny, tzv. vnitrost\u00e1tn\u011b stanoven\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky (<em>Nationally Determined Contributions<\/em> \u2013 NDCs), a pro\u010d jsou tak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9?<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXdQNOWIXZK_zTz0HoSEXfcwP33yDjyQgPl5xqapVK8sdX10d4VQFDJ8unB06b5aiHd0gV33qbQ5P3hU25moQFJCul20uhg9ciLTnPiKR8_cpbQPh-V5vIJirLzX237G7MQT_pZMVQ?key=yT-pp2VlX0FMH4kviOIFxdwY\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n<p><strong>Co jsou to Vnitrost\u00e1tn\u011b stanoven\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky (NDCs)?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>NDCs tvo\u0159\u00ed j\u00e1dro Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody \u2013 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9ho klimatick\u00e9ho paktu uzav\u0159en\u00e9ho v roce 2015. V r\u00e1mci t\u00e9to dohody se vl\u00e1dy zav\u00e1zaly omezit glob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed na bezpe\u010dnou hodnotu pod 2 \u00b0C a vyv\u00edjet \u00fasil\u00ed k tomu, aby nep\u0159ekro\u010dila 1,5 \u00b0C.<\/p>\n\n<p>Ka\u017ed\u00e1 zem\u011b mus\u00ed podle pravidel Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody pravidelne aktualizovat a zve\u0159ejnovatsv\u016fj klimatick\u00fd pl\u00e1n, ve kter\u00e9m detailn\u011b pop\u00ed\u0161e, jak hodl\u00e1 sni\u017eovat emise sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f (mitiga\u010dn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed) a jak se p\u0159izp\u016fsob\u00ed dopad\u016fm klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn (adapta\u010dn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed).<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Pro\u010d je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 aby m\u011bly zem\u011b svoje klimatick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny?&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>To, zda se poda\u0159\u00ed udr\u017eet glob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplen\u00ed v mez\u00edch stanoven\u00fdch Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017eskou dohodou, z\u00e1vis\u00ed do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry pr\u00e1v\u011b na kvalit\u011b a ambici\u00f3znosti klimatick\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f jednotliv\u00fdch zem\u00ed a na tom, jak je vl\u00e1dy implementuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n<p>Ka\u017ed\u00fd nov\u00fd klimatick\u00fd pl\u00e1n mus\u00ed b\u00fdt ambici\u00f3zn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edm z\u00e1vazk\u016fm zem\u011b \u2013 tento princip se naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u201eratchet-up mechanismus\u201c &#8211; mechanismus postupn\u00e9ho navy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed ambic\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Jak \u010dasto mus\u00ed st\u00e1ty p\u0159edkl\u00e1dat sv\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>NDCs se p\u0159edkl\u00e1daj\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fdch p\u011bt let sekretari\u00e1tu R\u00e1mcov\u00e9 \u00famluvy OSN o zm\u011bn\u011b klimatu (UNFCCC), co\u017e je organizace odpov\u011bdn\u00e1 za koordinaci glob\u00e1ln\u00ed reakce na klimatickou krizi.<\/p>\n\n<p>R\u00e1mcov\u00e1 \u00famluva m\u00e1 univerz\u00e1ln\u00ed \u010dlenstv\u00ed. V sou\u010dasnosti m\u00e1 198 smluvn\u00edch stran a je pova\u017eov\u00e1na za mate\u0159skou \u00famluvu Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody z roku 2015.<\/p>\n\n<p>Klimatick\u00fd pl\u00e1n \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky je p\u0159edkl\u00e1d\u00e1n prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm dohody na \u00farovni Evropsk\u00e9 unie. EU m\u00e1 aktu\u00e1ln\u011b stanoven\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny do roku 2030 v tzv. Bal\u00ed\u010dku Fit for 55, kter\u00e9 po\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed se sn\u00ed\u017een\u00edm emis\u00ed o 55 % do roku 2030 oproti roku 1990. Nov\u00fd c\u00edl pro rok 2035, kter\u00fd mus\u00ed b\u00fdt p\u0159edlo\u017een Sekretari\u00e1tu UNFCCC, bude z\u00e1viset na trajektorii sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed emis\u00ed, kterou si EU zvol\u00ed pro rok 2040, s c\u00edlem dos\u00e1hnout klimatick\u00e9 neutrality do roku 2050.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Kdy byly vytvo\u0159eny prvn\u00ed N\u00e1rodn\u00ed klimatick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>Prvn\u00ed generace do\u010dasn\u00fdch NDCs do roku 2030 vznikla v roce 2015 jako sou\u010d\u00e1st p\u0159ijet\u00ed Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody. Pot\u00e9 byly v letech 2020\u20132021 potvrzeny a aktualizov\u00e1ny.<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee term\u00edn pro odevzd\u00e1n\u00ed N\u00e1rodn\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f do roku 2035 je letos?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>Ano! Uz\u00e1v\u011brka pro p\u0159edlo\u017een\u00ed NDCs do roku 2035 uplynula tento t\u00fdden, konkr\u00e9tn\u011b 10. \u00fanora.<\/p>\n\n<p>Tyto nov\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky, n\u011bkdy ozna\u010dovan\u00e9 jako NDCs 3.0, maj\u00ed reflektovat v\u00fdsledky \u201cGlob\u00e1ln\u00ed inventury\u201d (Global Stocktake) z roku 2023, kter\u00e1 hodnotila celosv\u011btov\u00fd pokrok v pln\u011bn\u00ed c\u00edl\u016f Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody.<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Stihli jsme deadline?&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>Zat\u00edm pouze hrstka st\u00e1t\u016f podala sv\u00e9 NDCs pro rok 2035 (mezi nimi jsou USA, Braz\u00edlia, \u0160v\u00fdcarsko, UK \u010di Spojen\u00e9 Arabsk\u00e9 Emir\u00e1ty). V\u011bt\u0161ina st\u00e1t\u016f, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/analysis-95-of-countries-miss-un-deadline-to-submit-2035-climate-pledges\/\">a\u017e 95% deadline <\/a>nestihla, pat\u0159\u00ed tam tak\u00e9 n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch zne\u010di\u0161\u0165ovatel\u016f. Je tomu tak i p\u0159es to, \u017ee letos v listopadu prob\u011bhne kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd klimatick\u00fd summit COP30 v Braz\u00edlii. OSN proto vyzvala v\u0161echny zem\u011b, aby p\u0159edlo\u017eily \u201eambici\u00f3zn\u00ed a kvalitn\u00ed\u201c c\u00edle nejpozd\u011bji do z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n<p>Evropsk\u00e1 komise nyn\u00ed pracuje na legislativn\u00edm n\u00e1vrhu klimatick\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu pro rok 2040, kter\u00fd by m\u011bla p\u0159edstavit v nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch t\u00fddnech. U\u017e loni ale navrhla evropsk\u00fd <a href=\"https:\/\/climate.ec.europa.eu\/eu-action\/climate-strategies-targets\/2040-climate-target_en\">c\u00edl pro sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed emis\u00ed sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f o 90% do roku 2040<\/a> v porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s rokem 1990. Tento c\u00edl odpov\u00edd\u00e1 nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed hodnot\u011b doporu\u010den\u00e9 Evropsk\u00fdm v\u011bdeck\u00fdm poradn\u00edm v\u00fdborem pro zm\u011bnu klimatu. V\u00fdbor ve sv\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/climate-advisory-board.europa.eu\/reports-and-publications\/scientific-advice-for-the-determination-of-an-eu-wide-2040\">nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1v\u011b<\/a>, kter\u00e1 hodnot\u00ed klimatickou politiku EU, doporu\u010duje sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed emis\u00ed v rozmez\u00ed 90 a\u017e 95 % do roku 2040, aby byl spln\u011bn z\u00e1vazek klimatick\u00e9 neutrality do roku 2050.<\/p>\n\n<p>Sledovat, kter\u00e9 zem\u011b ji\u017e podaly sv\u00e9 NDCs, m\u016f\u017eete <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/NDCREG\">v registru UNFCCC<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Co mus\u00ed nov\u00e9 N\u00e1rodn\u00ed klimatick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny obsahovat?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00ed panel OSN pro zm\u011bnu klimatu (IPCC) varuje, \u017ee pokud chceme udr\u017eet oteplen\u00ed na 1,5 \u00b0C, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt glob\u00e1ln\u00ed emise do roku 2035 sn\u00ed\u017eeny o 60 % ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s rokem 2019 (a o 43 % do roku 2030). P\u0159ipravovan\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny tedy mus\u00ed b\u00fdt dostate\u010dn\u011b ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Funguj\u00ed N\u00e1rodn\u00ed klimatick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>A\u010dkoli se \u00farove\u0148 ambic\u00ed v NDCs postupn\u011b zvy\u0161uje, tempo zm\u011bn je st\u00e1le p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pomal\u00e9. Podle lo\u0148sk\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy OSN se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed emise v roce 2025 budou o 54 % vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v roce 1990 a v roce 2030 o 50 % vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v roce 1990.<\/p>\n\n<p>Proto je naprosto z\u00e1sadn\u00ed, aby NDCs na rok 2035 p\u0159inesly mnohem ambici\u00f3zn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1vazky. Rekordn\u00ed vlny veder, bou\u0159e a po\u017e\u00e1ry ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee klimatick\u00e1 krize nepo\u010dk\u00e1, zat\u00edmco st\u00e1ty odkl\u00e1daj\u00ed sv\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny.<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>K jak\u00e9mu oteplen\u00ed moment\u00e1ln\u011b sm\u011b\u0159ujeme?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>Podle \u0159\u00edjnov\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.unep.org\/resources\/emissions-gap-report-2024\">zpr\u00e1vy Programu OSN pro \u017eivotn\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed<\/a> je sv\u011bt v sou\u010dasnosti na cest\u011b k n\u00e1r\u016fstu glob\u00e1ln\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 teploty o 2,6 a\u017e 3,1 \u00b0C v porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s p\u0159edindustri\u00e1ln\u00ed dobou.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>To je ale velk\u00fd probl\u00e9m! Je st\u00e1le mo\u017en\u00e9 udr\u017eet oteplen\u00ed na 1,5 \u00b0C?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>Ano, ale vy\u017eaduje to masivn\u00ed urychlen\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed o sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed emis\u00ed. Dobrou zpr\u00e1vou je, \u017ee lo\u0148sk\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va UNEP o emisn\u00ed meze\u0159e (Emissions Gap Report 2024) potvrdila, \u017ee c\u00edl 1,5 \u00b0C je st\u00e1le technicky dosa\u017eiteln\u00fd.<\/p>\n\n<p>UNEP z\u00e1rove\u0148 zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee obrovsk\u00fd potenci\u00e1l maj\u00ed obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje energie \u2013 v\u011btrn\u00e9 a sol\u00e1rn\u00ed elektr\u00e1rny \u010di ochrana les\u016f. Aby se v\u0161ak tyto mo\u017enosti pln\u011b vyu\u017eily, vl\u00e1dy mus\u00ed p\u0159edlo\u017eit siln\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny a aktivn\u011b se zapojit do boje proti zm\u011bn\u011b klimatu.<\/p>\n\n<p>C\u00edl 1,5 \u00b0C je sv\u011bt\u00fdlkem nad\u011bje Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 dohody \u2013 a ka\u017ed\u00fd zlomek stupn\u011b hraje roli. \u010c\u00edm d\u00e9le budeme odkl\u00e1dat konec spalov\u00e1n\u00ed uhl\u00ed, ropy a plynu, t\u00edm hor\u0161\u00ed budou dopady. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 desetina stupn\u011b, kterou se poda\u0159\u00ed udr\u017eet, stoj\u00ed za to!<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Kdy se dozv\u00edme v\u00fdsledky Klimatick\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f jednotliv\u00fdch zem\u00ed na rok 2035?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>OSN zve\u0159ejn\u00ed anal\u00fdzu p\u0159ed leto\u0161n\u00ed klimatickou konferenc\u00ed COP30, kter\u00e1 se bude konat v listopadu v brazilsk\u00e9m m\u011bst\u011b Bel\u00e9m. Tato anal\u00fdza uk\u00e1\u017ee, jak\u00e1 je trajektorie sv\u011bta podle p\u0159edlo\u017een\u00fdch NDCs.<\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Existuj\u00ed momenty v historii, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 body zlomu \u2013 a rok 2025 m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jedn\u00edm z nich v boji proti klimatick\u00e9 krizi. Pr\u00e1v\u011b letos Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e1 dohoda slav\u00ed 10 let&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":21599,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"p4_og_title":"","p4_og_description":"","p4_og_image":"","p4_og_image_id":"","p4_seo_canonical_url":"","p4_campaign_name":"","p4_local_project":"","p4_basket_name":"","p4_department":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[20,25],"p4-page-type":[16],"class_list":["post-21597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nezarazeno","tag-zmena-klimatu","tag-konec-doby-fosilni","p4-page-type-clanek"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21597","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21597"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21597\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21600,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21597\/revisions\/21600"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21599"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21597"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21597"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21597"},{"taxonomy":"p4-page-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/p4-page-type?post=21597"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}