{"id":904,"date":"2018-08-31T15:25:00","date_gmt":"2018-08-31T13:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/uncategorized\/904\/obnovitelny-blackout-cesku-nehrozi\/"},"modified":"2019-11-06T10:38:13","modified_gmt":"2019-11-06T08:38:13","slug":"obnovitelny-blackout-cesku-nehrozi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/clanek\/904\/obnovitelny-blackout-cesku-nehrozi\/","title":{"rendered":"Obnoviteln\u00fd blackout \u010cesku nehroz\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-content\"><strong>Na prvn\u00ed pohled to vypad\u00e1 jednozna\u010dn\u011b: v\u00edtr fouk\u00e1 jenom n\u011bkdy, slunce sv\u00edt\u00ed jen ve dne, kdy\u017e zrovna nen\u00ed za mrakem. Tak jak by mohly obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje zajistit spolehlivou dod\u00e1vku elekt\u0159iny? Ot\u00e1zka je jist\u011b na m\u00edst\u011b, nebo\u0165 pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u011btrn\u00e9 a slune\u010dn\u00ed elektr\u00e1rny maj\u00ed na rozvoji obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f v posledn\u00edch letech lv\u00ed pod\u00edl. Odpov\u011b\u010f je ov\u0161em trochu p\u0159ekvapuj\u00edc\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\">Co ji\u017e o dopadech vysok\u00e9ho nasazen\u00ed obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f na spolehliv\u00fd provoz s\u00edt\u00ed v\u00edme z dosavadn\u00edch zku\u0161enost\u00ed? Nic skand\u00e1ln\u00edho. Obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje loni obstaraly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2018\/10\/ef39bc30-ef39bc30-eu-power-sector-report-2017.pdf\">30 %<\/a> v\u00fdroby elekt\u0159iny v Evropsk\u00e9 unii (po\u0159ad\u00ed pod\u00edlu jednotliv\u00fdch obnoviteln\u00fdch technologi\u00ed na celkov\u00e9 v\u00fdrob\u011b je n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed: v\u011btrn\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny 11,2 %, vodn\u00ed elektr\u00e1rny 9,1 %, zdroje na biomasu 6 %, sol\u00e1rn\u00ed elektr\u00e1rny 3,7 %), ani\u017e by do\u0161lo ke zhor\u0161en\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti dod\u00e1vek. Z pohledu spolehlivosti dod\u00e1vek z\u00e1kazn\u00edk\u016fm jsou na evropsk\u00e9 \u0161pi\u010dce N\u011bmecko a D\u00e1nsko, tedy zem\u011b s v\u00fdrazn\u011b nadpr\u016fm\u011brnou produkc\u00ed elekt\u0159iny z obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f. D\u00edky pokro\u010dil\u00e9mu syst\u00e9mu \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a kvalitn\u00ed kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi po\u010das\u00ed se jim da\u0159\u00ed elekt\u0159inu z v\u011btrn\u00fdch a slune\u010dn\u00edch elektr\u00e1ren vyu\u017e\u00edvat, ani\u017e by z\u00e1kazn\u00edci poc\u00edtili sebemen\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9m.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2018\/10\/56f6f2c1-56f6f2c1-106581_201439.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\">Nemohl by ale stabilitu s\u00edt\u011b ohrozit rychl\u00fd p\u0159echod od dispe\u010dersky \u0159iditeln\u00fdch uheln\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren k obnoviteln\u00fdm zdroj\u016fm. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky, kter\u00e1 po\u0159\u00e1d pokr\u00fdv\u00e1 polovinu v\u00fdroby elekt\u0159iny z uhl\u00ed, tato ot\u00e1zka le\u017e\u00ed na stole. Hlavn\u011b proto, \u017ee kv\u016fli pln\u011bn\u00ed klimatick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f bude t\u0159eba uheln\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika let utlumit. Podrobnou odpov\u011b\u010f u\u017e s pomoc\u00ed excelov\u00e9 tabulky nevymysl\u00edte. Specializovan\u00e1 spole\u010dnost Energynautics ov\u0161em disponuje softwarov\u00fdm modelem, kter\u00fd dok\u00e1\u017ee chov\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b simulovat.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\">Na objedn\u00e1vku \u010desk\u00fdch ekologick\u00fdch i byznysov\u00fdch organizac\u00ed simulovali experti Energynautics chov\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b ve v\u0161ech dnech roku s p\u0159edpokladem zrychlen\u00ed energetick\u00e9 transformace v \u010cesk\u00e9 republice mezi dne\u0161kem a rokem 2030. Ta by se projevila p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm odstaven\u00edm v\u0161ech uheln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f provozovan\u00fdch v\u00fdhradn\u011b pro v\u00fdrobu elekt\u0159iny. Podle p\u0159edpoklad\u016f z\u016fstanou v provozu pouze uheln\u00e9 zdroje s kombinovanou v\u00fdrobou tepla a elekt\u0159iny, jejich\u017e hlavn\u00edm smyslem je z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed velk\u00fdch s\u00eddeln\u00edch celk\u016f teplem, a kogenera\u010dn\u00ed zdroje v pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch podnic\u00edch.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\">Druh\u00fdm v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm rozd\u00edlem mezi p\u0159edpoklady pro rok 2030 a sou\u010dasn\u00fdm stavem je n\u00e1r\u016fst v\u00fdkonu obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v\u011btrn\u00fdch a sol\u00e1rn\u00edch elektr\u00e1ren, tedy zdroj\u016f z\u00e1visl\u00fdch na po\u010das\u00ed. Model p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 n\u00e1r\u016fst v\u00fdkonu v\u011btrn\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren na 2050 MW (oproti 278 MW v roce 2017) a sol\u00e1rn\u00edch elektr\u00e1ren na 5500 MW (oproti 2100 MW v roce 2017). Podle v\u00fdsledk\u016f modelu tento n\u00e1r\u016fst stabilitu s\u00edt\u011b neohroz\u00ed. Podrobn\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky a popis metodiky jsou shrnuty ve <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2018\/10\/23fddfb7-23fddfb7-czech-grid-without-coal-by-2030_fin.pdf\">studii<\/a>, hlavn\u00ed z\u00e1v\u011bry pak v <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-czech-republic-stateless\/2018\/10\/def6bd37-def6bd37-infolist-sit-bez-uhli.pdf\">infolistu p\u0159elo\u017een\u00e9m do \u010de\u0161tiny<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\">Ani v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee se poda\u0159\u00ed p\u0159ekonat sou\u010dasnou stagnaci a nastartovat rozvoj obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f neb\u00fdval\u00fdm tempem, nehroz\u00ed v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch letech ohro\u017een\u00ed stability elektriza\u010dn\u00ed soustavy. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty hodlaj\u00ed do roku 2030 dos\u00e1hnout podstatn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch pod\u00edl\u016f obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, ne\u017e je u n\u00e1s provediteln\u00e9, budeme m\u00edt \u0161anci sledovat, jak\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed sol\u00e1rn\u00edch a v\u011btrn\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren zvl\u00e1dnou do syst\u00e9mu za\u010dlenit.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\">\u010ceskou republiku \u010dek\u00e1 jin\u00fd \u00fakol: op\u011btovn\u011b nastartovat r\u016fst obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f. Stra\u0161\u00e1ka blackoutu se p\u0159itom b\u00e1t nemus\u00ed.<\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\"><em>Ps\u00e1no pro magaz\u00edn Greenpeace.<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"post-content\"><em><br \/>\n<\/em><em>Karel Polaneck\u00fd je energetick\u00fd expert Hnut\u00ed DUHA.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Na prvn\u00ed pohled to vypad\u00e1 jednozna\u010dn\u011b: v\u00edtr fouk\u00e1 jenom n\u011bkdy, slunce sv\u00edt\u00ed jen ve dne, kdy\u017e zrovna nen\u00ed za mrakem. Tak jak by mohly obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje zajistit spolehlivou dod\u00e1vku elekt\u0159iny? Ot\u00e1zka je jist\u011b na m\u00edst\u011b, nebo\u0165 pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u011btrn\u00e9 a slune\u010dn\u00ed elektr\u00e1rny maj\u00ed na rozvoji obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f v posledn\u00edch letech lv\u00ed pod\u00edl. Odpov\u011b\u010f je ov\u0161em trochu p\u0159ekvapuj\u00edc\u00ed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":905,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"p4_og_title":"","p4_og_description":"","p4_og_image":"","p4_og_image_id":"","p4_seo_canonical_url":"","p4_campaign_name":"","p4_local_project":"","p4_basket_name":"","p4_department":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[26,25],"p4-page-type":[16],"class_list":["post-904","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energeticka-revoluce","tag-obnovitelne-zdroje","tag-konec-doby-fosilni","p4-page-type-clanek"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/904","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=904"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/904\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":909,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/904\/revisions\/909"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/905"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=904"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=904"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=904"},{"taxonomy":"p4-page-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/czech\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/p4-page-type?post=904"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}