{"id":38353,"date":"2026-09-17T11:10:30","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T02:10:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/?p=38353"},"modified":"2026-09-17T11:32:18","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T02:32:18","slug":"report-2026-grid-scenario","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/report\/38353\/report-2026-grid-scenario\/","title":{"rendered":"[\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c] \uc804\ub825\ubd80\ubb38 \ud0c8\ud0c4\uc18c\ud654\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub825\uc218\uae09\uae30\ubcf8\uacc4\ud68d \ub300\uc548 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \uc5f0\uad6c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc6b4\ubc1b\uae30<\/strong> : \uc804\ub825\ubd80\ubb38 \ud0c8\ud0c4\uc18c\ud654\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub825\uc218\uae09\uae30\ubcf8\uacc4\ud68d \ub300\uc548 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \uc5f0\uad6c<\/a><\/p>\n

\uadf8\ub9b0\ud53c\uc2a4\ub294 \uc624\ub298(20\uc77c) \uc2dc\ubbfc\uc0ac\ud68c \ub124\ud2b8\uc6cc\ud06c '\ud654\uc11d\uc5f0\ub8cc\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c(KBF)'\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uae30\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ubb38 \uc5f0\uad6c\uae30\uad00 '\ud50c\ub79c\uc787(PLANIT)'\uc5d0 \uc758\ub8b0\ud574 \uc9c4\ud589\ud55c \u300e\uc804\ub825\ubd80\ubb38 \ud0c8\ud0c4\uc18c\ud654\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub825\uc218\uae09\uae30\ubcf8\uacc4\ud68d \ub300\uc548 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \uc5f0\uad6c\u300f \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uacf5\ub3d9 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uad6c \uacb0\uacfc, \uba54\uac00\ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8 \uc804\ub825 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ucd94\uac00\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc11d\ud0c4 \ubc1c\uc804\uc744 \uc804\uba74 \ud3d0\uc1c4\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ubc1c\uc804 \ubd80\ubb38 \ubc30\ucd9c\ub7c9\uc740 NDC \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc548 \ud5c8\uc6a9 \uc218\uc900(56 MtCO\u2082e)\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ucd08\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc11d\ud0c4 \ud1f4\ucd9c\ub85c \uc0dd\uae34 \uacf5\uae09 \uacf5\ubc31\uacfc \uba54\uac00\ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc804\ub825\uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84 \uac00\uc2a4 \ubc1c\uc804\uc774 \ucda9\ub2f9\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c, \uc218\ub3c4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub41c \uc804\ub825 \uc218\uc694 \uc57d 60TWh(\uc5f0\uad6c\uc9c4 \ucd94\uc0b0 \uac00\uc815\uac12)\ub97c \uc7ac\uc0dd\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uac00 \ud48d\ubd80\ud55c \ud638\ub0a8\uad8c\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc804\ud558\ub294 '\ubd84\uc0b0 \ud0c8\uc11d\ud0c4 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624'\ub97c \uc801\uc6a9\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uac04 \uc1a1\uc804\ub7c9\uc774 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801\uc778 \ud0c8\ud0c4\uc18c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uc11d\ud0c4\ubc1c\uc804\uc744 \uc804\uba74 \ud1f4\ucd9c\ud558\uace0 \uadf8 \uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \uac00\uc2a4\uac00 \uc544\ub2cc \uc7ac\uc0dd\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub85c \ucc44\uc6cc\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc81c\uc5b8\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc11d\ud0c4\uc758 \ube48\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \uba54\uc6b0\uba70 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uc2a4\ubc1c\uc804\uc740 \ubcf8\ub798 \ubaa9\uc801\uc778 \ube44\uc0c1\u00b7\ucca8\ub450\ubd80\ud558 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ucd5c\uc18c\ud654\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4\ub098 AI \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc13c\ud130 \ub4f1 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uba54\uac00\ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8 \uc218\uc694\uc758 \uc801\uc815\uc131\uc744 \uc7ac\uac80\ud1a0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc2e0\uaddc \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc7ac\uc0dd\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uac00 \ud48d\ubd80\ud55c \ube44\uc218\ub3c4\uad8c\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc694 \ub0b4\uc6a9<\/h3>\n

\uc694\uc57d<\/strong><\/p>\n

\ubaa9\ucc28<\/strong><\/p>\n

\ubc30\uacbd<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  • \uc804\ub825\uc218\uae09\uae30\ubcf8\uacc4\ud68d<\/li>\n
  • \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \uae30\ubc18 \uc804\ub825 \uacc4\ud68d\uc758 \ud544\uc694\uc131<\/li>\n
  • \uc5f0\uad6c \ubaa9\uc801 \ubc0f \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \uad6c\uc131<\/li>\n
  • \ubd84\uc11d \ubc29\ubc95\ub860 \ubc0f \uc8fc\uc694 \uac00\uc815<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \ubd84\uc11d \uacb0\uacfc<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \n
    • \ucd5c\uc18c\uc81c\uc57d \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624: \uc815\ucc45\uc801 \uc81c\uc57d \uc5c6\ub294 \uc124\ube44\uacc4\ud68d \uc774\ud589, NDC \ub2ec\uc131 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4<\/li>\n
    • \uc804\uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 vs NDC \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc548 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624: \uc628\uc2e4\uac00\uc2a4 \ubc30\ucd9c\ub7c9 \uc0c1\ud55c, \ud654\ub825\ubc1c\uc804\uc758 \uc5ed\ud560 \uc7ac\uc815\uc758<\/li>\n
    • \ud0c8\uc11d\ud0c4 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624: \ud0c8\uc11d\ud0c4 \u00b7 \uc2e0\uaddc \uac00\uc2a4\ubc1c\uc804 \uaddc\uc81c, 11\ucc28 \uc804\uae30\ubcf8 \ub300\ube44 \uc808\ubc18 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac10\ucd95<\/li>\n
    • \ubd80\ubd84\uc804\ud658 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624: \ub178\ud6c4 \uc11d\ud0c4 \ub300\uccb4 \uac00\uc2a4 \ubc1c\uc804\uc18c\uc758 \uc7ac\uc0dd\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc804\ud658\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc628\uc2e4\uac00\uc2a4 \uac10\ucd95\ud6a8\uacfc \uc81c\ud55c\uc801<\/li>\n
    • \ubd84\uc0b0 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624: \uc218\uc694 \ubd84\uc0b0, \uc9c0\uc5ed \uac04 \uc1a1\uc804 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc644\ud654<\/li>\n
    • \uc7ac\uc0dd\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ube44\uc6a9\uad6c\uc870 \ubcc0\ud654, \ud604\ud589 \uc815\uc0b0\ub2e8\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4<\/li>\n
    • \ud0c4\uc18c\uac00\uaca9, \ud654\uc11d\uc5f0\ub8cc \uac04 \uae09\uc804 \uc6b0\uc120\uc21c\uc704 \uacb0\uc815<\/li>\n
    • \uba54\uac00\ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\uc640 \uc628\uc2e4\uac00\uc2a4 \uac10\ucd95\ubaa9\ud45c\uc758 \uc591\ub9bd \uc870\uac74<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      \uc815\ucc45 \uc81c\uc5b8<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \n
      • \uc11d\ud0c4\ubc1c\uc804 \ud1f4\ucd9c\uacfc \uc7ac\uc0dd\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud655\ub300 \ub3d9\uc2dc \ucd94\uc9c4<\/li>\n
      • \uac00\uc2a4\ubc1c\uc804 \uc5ed\ud560 \uc7ac\uc815\uc758 \ubc0f \uc2e0\uaddc \uac00\uc2a4\ubc1c\uc804 \ucd5c\uc18c\ud654<\/li>\n
      • \ube44\uc218\ub3c4\uad8c\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc804\ub825\uc218\uc694 \ubd84\uc0b0 \ubcd1\ud589<\/li>\n
      • \uc804\ub825\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc815\uc0b0\uad6c\uc870 \ubc0f \ud0c4\uc18c\uac00\uaca9 \uc2e0\ud638\uc758 \uc815\ud569\uc131 \uac15\ud654<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        \ubd80\ub85d<\/strong><\/p>\n

          \n
        • Appendix \ubc29\ubc95\ub860<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

          \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc6b4\ubc1b\uae30 : \uc804\ub825\ubd80\ubb38 \ud0c8\ud0c4\uc18c\ud654\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub825\uc218\uae09\uae30\ubcf8\uacc4\ud68d \ub300\uc548 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \uc5f0\uad6c \uadf8\ub9b0\ud53c\uc2a4\ub294 \uc624\ub298(20\uc77c) \uc2dc\ubbfc\uc0ac\ud68c \ub124\ud2b8\uc6cc\ud06c ‘\ud654\uc11d\uc5f0\ub8cc\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c(KBF)’\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uae30\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ubb38 \uc5f0\uad6c\uae30\uad00 ‘\ud50c\ub79c\uc787(PLANIT)’\uc5d0 \uc758\ub8b0\ud574 \uc9c4\ud589\ud55c \u300e\uc804\ub825\ubd80\ubb38 \ud0c8\ud0c4\uc18c\ud654\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub825\uc218\uae09\uae30\ubcf8\uacc4\ud68d \ub300\uc548 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \uc5f0\uad6c\u300f \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uacf5\ub3d9 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uad6c \uacb0\uacfc, \uba54\uac00\ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8 \uc804\ub825 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ucd94\uac00\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc11d\ud0c4 \ubc1c\uc804\uc744 \uc804\uba74 \ud3d0\uc1c4\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ubc1c\uc804 \ubd80\ubb38 \ubc30\ucd9c\ub7c9\uc740 NDC \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc548 \ud5c8\uc6a9 \uc218\uc900(56 MtCO\u2082e)\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ucd08\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc11d\ud0c4 \ud1f4\ucd9c\ub85c \uc0dd\uae34 \uacf5\uae09 \uacf5\ubc31\uacfc \uba54\uac00\ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc804\ub825\uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84 \uac00\uc2a4 \ubc1c\uc804\uc774 \ucda9\ub2f9\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c, \uc218\ub3c4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub41c \uc804\ub825 \uc218\uc694 \uc57d 60TWh(\uc5f0\uad6c\uc9c4 \ucd94\uc0b0 \uac00\uc815\uac12)\ub97c \uc7ac\uc0dd\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uac00 \ud48d\ubd80\ud55c \ud638\ub0a8\uad8c\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc804\ud558\ub294 ‘\ubd84\uc0b0 \ud0c8\uc11d\ud0c4 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624’\ub97c \uc801\uc6a9\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uac04 \uc1a1\uc804\ub7c9\uc774 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801\uc778…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"p4_og_title":"","p4_og_description":"","p4_og_image":"","p4_og_image_id":"","p4_seo_canonical_url":"","p4_seo_meta_title":"","p4_seo_meta_description":"","p4_campaign_name":"","p4_local_project":"","p4_basket_name":"","p4_department":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[75,96,56,64],"p4-page-type":[92],"class_list":["post-38353","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-climate","tag-science-research","tag-climate-change","tag-climate-crisis","tag-renewable-energy","p4-page-type-report"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38353","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/83"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38353"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38353\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38370,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38353\/revisions\/38370"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38353"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38353"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38353"},{"taxonomy":"p4-page-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/p4-page-type?post=38353"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}