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style=\"cursor:inherit\">\u6587\u7ae0\u76ee\u9304<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/taiwan\/update\/6060\/%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e6%b0%a3%e5%80%99%e8%ae%8a%e9%81%b7%e7%9a%84%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa%e8%88%87%e8%87%a8%e7%95%8c%e9%bb%9e\/#%E5%8F%AA%E6%98%AF%E5%B0%8F%E5%B0%8F%E7%9A%84%E6%BA%AB%E5%BA%A6%E5%A2%9E%E5%8A%A0%EF%BC%8C%E6%9C%83%E6%9C%89%E4%BB%80%E9%BA%BC%E5%95%8F%E9%A1%8C%EF%BC%9F\" >\u53ea\u662f\u5c0f\u5c0f\u7684\u6eab\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u6703\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u554f\u984c\uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/taiwan\/update\/6060\/%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e6%b0%a3%e5%80%99%e8%ae%8a%e9%81%b7%e7%9a%84%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa%e8%88%87%e8%87%a8%e7%95%8c%e9%bb%9e\/#%E9%82%A3_2%C2%B0C%EF%BC%8C%E7%9C%9F%E7%9A%84%E5%AE%89%E5%85%A8%E5%97%8E\" >\u90a3 2\u00b0C\uff0c\u771f\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u55ce?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/taiwan\/update\/6060\/%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e6%b0%a3%e5%80%99%e8%ae%8a%e9%81%b7%e7%9a%84%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa%e8%88%87%e8%87%a8%e7%95%8c%e9%bb%9e\/#%E4%B8%8D%E5%8F%AF%E4%B8%8D%E7%9F%A5%E7%9A%84%E6%A5%B5%E7%AB%AF%E9%A2%A8%E9%9A%AA_-_%E8%87%A8%E7%95%8C%E9%BB%9E\" >\u4e0d\u53ef\u4e0d\u77e5\u7684\u6975\u7aef\u98a8\u96aa - \u81e8\u754c\u9ede<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/taiwan\/update\/6060\/%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e6%b0%a3%e5%80%99%e8%ae%8a%e9%81%b7%e7%9a%84%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa%e8%88%87%e8%87%a8%e7%95%8c%e9%bb%9e\/#%E5%8C%97%E6%A5%B5%E6%B5%B7%E5%86%B0%E8%9E%8D%E5%8C%96\" >\u5317\u6975\u6d77\u51b0\u878d\u5316<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/taiwan\/update\/6060\/%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e6%b0%a3%e5%80%99%e8%ae%8a%e9%81%b7%e7%9a%84%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa%e8%88%87%e8%87%a8%e7%95%8c%e9%bb%9e\/#%E5%A4%A7%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1%E5%86%B0%E5%B1%A4%E5%A1%8C%E9%99%B7\" >\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u51b0\u5c64\u584c\u9677<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/taiwan\/update\/6060\/%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e6%b0%a3%e5%80%99%e8%ae%8a%e9%81%b7%e7%9a%84%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa%e8%88%87%e8%87%a8%e7%95%8c%e9%bb%9e\/#%E6%93%BE%E5%8B%95%E6%B5%B7%E5%BA%95%E6%B2%BC%E6%B0%A3\" 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href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/taiwan\/update\/6060\/%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e6%b0%a3%e5%80%99%e8%ae%8a%e9%81%b7%e7%9a%84%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa%e8%88%87%e8%87%a8%e7%95%8c%e9%bb%9e\/#%E5%9B%A0%E6%87%89%E6%B0%A3%E5%80%99%E8%AE%8A%E9%81%B7%EF%BC%8C%E6%8F%90%E5%89%8D%E8%A9%95%E4%BC%B0%E5%88%86%E6%9E%90%E9%A2%A8%E9%9A%AA\" >\u56e0\u61c9\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\uff0c\u63d0\u524d\u8a55\u4f30\/\u5206\u6790\u98a8\u96aa<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E5%8F%AA%E6%98%AF%E5%B0%8F%E5%B0%8F%E7%9A%84%E6%BA%AB%E5%BA%A6%E5%A2%9E%E5%8A%A0%EF%BC%8C%E6%9C%83%E6%9C%89%E4%BB%80%E9%BA%BC%E5%95%8F%E9%A1%8C%EF%BC%9F\"><\/span>\u53ea\u662f\u5c0f\u5c0f\u7684\u6eab\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u6703\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u554f\u984c\uff1f<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u5341\u4e5d\u4e16\u7d00\u672b\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u8868\u9762\u7684\u6eab\u5ea6\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0a\u5347\u4e86\u7d04 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4\u00b0C\uff0c\u600e\u9ebc\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u64d4\u5fc3\uff1f<\/p>\n<h3>\u554f\u984c\u53ef\u5927\u4e86<\/h3>\n<p>\u4e0a\u4e00\u6b21\u51b0\u6cb3\u6642\u671f\u6642\uff0c\u534a\u500b\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u90fd\u88ab\u4e00\u82f1\u54e9\u539a\u7684\u51b0\u5c64\u6240\u8986\u84cb\uff0c\u90a3\u6642\u5019\u8207\u4eca\u65e5\u7684\u6eab\u5ea6\u5dee\u7570\u7d04 5\u00b0C\u3002\u4f46\u90a3\u6642\u5019\u7684\u6696\u5316\u82b1\u4e86\u6578\u5343\u5e74\u7684\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u800c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6240\u589e\u52a0\u7684 0.85\u00b0C \u537b\u53ea\u82b1\u4e86\u4e00\u767e\u591a\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9810\u4f30\u672c\u4e16\u7d00\u6eab\u5ea6\u6539\u8b8a\u901f\u7387\u4e4b\u5feb\uff0c\u6703\u662f\u904e\u53bb 6500 \u842c\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u524d\u6240\u672a\u898b\u7684\u3002\u6839\u64da\u806f\u5408\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u9593\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u5c08\u9580\u59d4\u54e1\u6703 (IPCC) \u7684\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u5011\u672a\u80fd\u986f\u8457\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6392\u653e\uff0c\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7d00\u672b\uff0c\u5347\u6eab\u4e4b\u5e45\u5ea6\u5c07\u4e0a\u770b 4~5\u00b0C\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u8db3\u4ee5\u8207\u4e0a\u6b21\u51b0\u6cb3\u6642\u671f\u76f8\u63d0\u4e26\u8ad6\u7684\u6539\u8b8a\u3002\u63db\u53e5\u8a71\u8aaa\uff0c\u9019\u5c0d\u6211\u5011\u7684\u6c23\u5019\u7d55\u5c0d\u6703\u6709\u986f\u8457\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E9%82%A3_2%C2%B0C%EF%BC%8C%E7%9C%9F%E7%9A%84%E5%AE%89%E5%85%A8%E5%97%8E\"><\/span>\u90a3 2\u00b0C\uff0c\u771f\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u55ce?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u9593\u540c\u610f\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u5c07\u5347\u6eab\u63a7\u5236\u5728 2\u00b0C \u4ee5\u4e0b(\u4ee5\u5de5\u696d\u5316\u524d\u7684\u6eab\u5ea6\u70ba\u57fa\u6e96)\uff1b\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5149\u662f\u73fe\u5728\u7684 0.85\u00b0C 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\u7684\u60c5\u5883\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8a72\u5982\u4f55\u61c9\u5c0d\uff0c\u4f46\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u6975\u70ba\u91cd\u8981\u4e14\u6025\u9700\u8a0e\u8ad6\u7684\u8b70\u984c\u662f\u89f8\u53ca\u300c\u81e8\u754c\u9ede\u300d\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6240\u8b02\u81e8\u754c\u9ede\uff0c\u6307\u5f97\u662f\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e9b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e00\u65e6\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6c23\u5019\u5c07\u6703\u7522\u751f\u7a81\u767c\u4e14\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u7684\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u9060\u8d85\u4eba\u985e\u6240\u80fd\u638c\u63a7\u7684\u7bc4\u570d\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4ecd\u7121\u6cd5\u660e\u78ba\u6307\u51fa\u7a76\u7adf\u6696\u5316\u5230\u600e\u6a23\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u624d\u6703\u89f8\u53ca\u9019\u4e9b\u81e8\u754c\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u806f\u5408\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u9593\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u5c08\u9580\u59d4\u54e1\u6703 (IPCC) \u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u5011\u6210\u529f\u5728\u672c\u4e16\u7d00\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c07\u5168\u7403\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u964d\u5230 40~70%\uff0c\u90a3\u5c07\u6709\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u9054\u5230\u63a7\u5236\u5347\u6eab\u5728 2\u00b0C \u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\u3002\u7576\u6211\u5011\u8ac7\u8ad6\u7684\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6027\u7684\u707d\u96e3\u6642\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u66f4\u61c9\u8a72\u91cd\u8996\u4e14\u8b39\u614e\u8655\u7406\u81e8\u754c\u9ede\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff1b\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u4ee3\u8868\u4e26\u7121\u6cd5\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u767e\u4fdd\u8b49\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u66f4\u4f55\u6cc1\u63a7\u5236\u5347\u6eab\u5728 2\u00b0C \u4ee5\u5167\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u7d55\u5c0d\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E4%B8%8D%E5%8F%AF%E4%B8%8D%E7%9F%A5%E7%9A%84%E6%A5%B5%E7%AB%AF%E9%A2%A8%E9%9A%AA_-_%E8%87%A8%E7%95%8C%E9%BB%9E\"><\/span>\u4e0d\u53ef\u4e0d\u77e5\u7684\u6975\u7aef\u98a8\u96aa - \u81e8\u754c\u9ede<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u5176\u5be6\u6211\u5011\u6bcf\u5929\u90fd\u5728\u505a\u98a8\u96aa\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u983b\u7e41\u5230\u5fd8\u4e86\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982:\u6211\u5011\u6703\u7e6b\u4e0a\u5b89\u5168\u5e36\u8207\u8cfc\u8cb7\u4fdd\u96aa\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u6211\u5011\u4e26\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u767c\u751f\u8eca\u798d\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5011\u77e5\u9053\u51e1\u4e8b\u90fd\u6709\u842c\u4e00\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u908f\u8f2f\u4e5f\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u8655\u7406\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2100 \u5e74\uff08\u8a31\u591a\u73fe\u5728\u51fa\u751f\u7684\u5c0f\u5b69\u6703\u6d3b\u5230\u90a3\u6642\u5019\uff09\u7684\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u6a21\u578b\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u60c5\u5883\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6211\u5011\u7121\u5f9e\u5f97\u77e5\u7a76\u7adf\u672a\u4f86\u6703\u7d93\u6b77\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u54ea\u500b\u60c5\u5883\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5011\u77e5\u9053\u96a8\u8457\u6eab\u5ea6\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u6700\u7cdf\u60c5\u6cc1\u767c\u751f\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u4e5f\u5c31\u96a8\u4e4b\u5347\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u63a1\u53d6\u884c\u52d5\u662f\u9020\u6210\u6b64\u4e00\u60c5\u6cc1\u7684\u5143\u51f6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6700\u7cdf\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u5c31\u662f\u6240\u8b02\u7684\u300c\u6975\u7aef\u98a8\u96aa\u300d\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u9818\u57df\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u3002\u5927\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u91d1\u878d\u6295\u8cc7\u5145\u6eff\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u4f60\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4e00\u5915\u81f4\u5bcc\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u77ac\u9593\u8840\u672c\u7121\u6b78\u3002\u5927\u591a\u6578\u72c0\u6cc1\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u4ecb\u65bc\u5169\u8005\u4e4b\u9593\uff0c\u800c\u6bcf\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4e5f\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u9700\u8981\u8003\u91cf\u6975\u7aef\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u90a3\u500b\u5931\u53bb\u4e00\u5207\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u5c31\u56e0\u6975\u7aef\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u4e0d\u61c9\u8d85\u904e\u81ea\u5df1\u53ef\u4ee5\u627f\u64d4\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u90a3\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u9077\u7684\u6975\u7aef\u98a8\u96aa\u662f\u751a\u9ebc\uff1f\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u81e8\u754c\u9ede\u53c8\u6703\u6630\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6a23\u5b50\uff1f\u89f8\u53ca\u81e8\u754c\u9ede\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u6703\u767c\u751f\u751a\u9ebc\u4e8b\uff1f<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E5%8C%97%E6%A5%B5%E6%B5%B7%E5%86%B0%E8%9E%8D%E5%8C%96\"><\/span>\u5317\u6975\u6d77\u51b0\u878d\u5316<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-taiwan-stateless\/2019\/07\/4e813b1f-4e813b1f-11-03-risks-ice.jpg\" alt=\"\u5317\u6975\u6d77\u51b0\u6d88\u878d\" width=\"600\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5168\u7403\u6696\u5316\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u5728\u5404\u5730\u662f\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u5317\u6975\u662f\u6eab\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347\u7279\u5225\u5feb\u7684\u5730\u5340\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u9593\uff0c\u590f\u5b63\u5317\u6975\u6d77\u51b0\u7684\u7bc4\u570d\u9a5f\u6e1b\u5c07\u8fd1 50%\uff0c\u9019\u6d88\u5931\u7684\u9762\u7a4d\u8db3\u8db3\u6709 2 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id=\"%E5%A4%A7%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1%E5%86%B0%E5%B1%A4%E5%A1%8C%E9%99%B7\"><\/span>\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u51b0\u5c64\u584c\u9677<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u683c\u9675\u862d\u8207\u5357\u6975\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u51b0\u5c64\u584c\u9677\u6703\u5c0e\u81f4\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u6578\u516c\u5c3a\uff1b\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u5011\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u7576\u5347\u6eab\u81f3\u7279\u5b9a\u9580\u6abb\u4e00\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\u5f8c\uff0c\u683c\u9675\u862d\u591a\u6578\u7684\u51b0\u5c64\u5c07\u5b8c\u5168\u878d\u5316\uff0c\u4f7f\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u7d04 7 \u516c\u5c3a\u3002\u4f46\u554f\u984c\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4e26\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u9019\u500b\u9580\u6abb\u503c\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u591a\u5c11\uff1f\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u662f 1~4\u00b0C \u9593\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u500b\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5373\u4f7f\u51b0\u5c64\u5168\u90e8\u878d\u5316\u9700\u82b1\u8cbb\u5343\u5e74\u6216\u66f4\u4e45\u7684\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u4f46\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u53ea\u8981\u4e0a\u5347\u5340\u5340\u4e00\u516c\u5c3a\uff0c\u90fd\u5c07\u5c0d\u4eba\u985e\u9020\u6210\u83ab\u5927\u7684\u5a01\u8105\u3002\u800c\u555f\u52d5\u51b0\u5c64\u878d\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u5011\u9019\u4e00\u4ee3\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u555f\u52d5\uff0c\u4fbf\u5f88\u96e3\u505c\u6b62\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u904e\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u9593 (2002-2011\u5e74)\uff0c\u683c\u9675\u862d\u5cf6\u7684\u51b0\u5c64\u4ee5\u6bd4\u5341\u5e74\u524d\u5feb 6 \u500d\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u6d88\u5931\uff1b\u800c\u5357\u6975\u51b0\u5c64\u4e5f\u4ee5\u5feb 5 \u500d\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u6d88\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e74 5 \u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u592a\u7a7a\u7e3d\u7f72(National Aeronautics and Space Administration, 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