{"id":3879,"date":"2022-11-08T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-08T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www-prod.greenpeace.org\/usa\/campaign-updates\/3879\/big-oil-money-looms-large-in-competitive-elections\/"},"modified":"2024-12-12T19:05:27","modified_gmt":"2024-12-12T19:05:27","slug":"big-oil-money-looms-large-in-competitive-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/usa\/big-oil-money-looms-large-in-competitive-elections\/","title":{"rendered":"Big Oil Money Looms Large in Competitive Elections"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"p4descriptive_paragraph\">In the closest federal races, the oil &amp; gas industry has spent an estimated average of $4.3 million per Senate seat and $490,000 per House seat through direct contributions, funding for party committees, and funding for super PACs.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large p4featured_image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/storage.googleapis.com\/planet4-usa-stateless\/2024\/11\/31a0d54e-gp1sw69p_medium_res_with_credit_line.jpg\" alt=\"People Vs Fossil Fuels Day Five March to the Capitol\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Indigenous youth lead hundreds to the Capitol.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">During this election cycle, 20 oil &amp; gas companies and industry trade associations contributed more than $52 million to right-wing super PACs and party fundraising committees, and more than $4 million to candidate PACs. Much of the spending was used to support Republican candidates running in competitive Senate and House districts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Whereas direct contributions are subject to strict federal limits, super PACs and party committees can spend unlimited amounts to influence elections (following certain rules). Big Oil contributed much more to these groups than directly to candidates.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Donors give to super PACs and party committees that align with their political goals, paying close attention to how the money is used. We should also be paying attention. In this analysis, an attribution method was used to estimate how much the oil &amp; gas industry spent in each toss-up race\u2014races where both parties have more than a 40% chance and less than a 60% chance of winning\u2014through funding for party committees and super PACs, in addition to direct contributions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Big Oil\u2019s spending was so high that in 10 out of the 14 races analyzed, oil &amp; gas-attributed spending outweighed the amount that one or both candidates raised from small donors <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(donors who contributed $200 or less). These races are bolded in the tables below.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil &amp; gas industry support for Republican candidates in toss-up Senate races\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Candidate<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Direct contributions<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Estimated support through funding for party committees and super PACs<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Total<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Mehmet Oz (<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/senate\/pennsylvania\/\"><b>PA<\/b><\/a><b>)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$5,000<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$5,451,562\u00a0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$5,456,562\u00a0<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Herschel Walker (<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/senate\/georgia\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">GA<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$0<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$5,313,092<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$5,313,092<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Adam Laxalt (<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/senate\/nevada\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NV<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$25,000<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$2,002,158<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$2,027,158<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Source: Greenpeace USA analysis using data from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.opensecrets.org\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">OpenSecrets<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FiveThirtyEight<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oil &amp; gas industry support for Republican candidates in toss-up House races<\/span><\/h3>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Candidate<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Direct contributions<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Estimated support through funding for party committees and super PACs<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Total<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Mark Robertson (<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/house\/nevada\/1\/\"><b>NV-1<\/b><\/a><b>)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$857,834<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$857,834<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Lisa Scheller (<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/house\/pennsylvania\/7\/\"><b>PA-7<\/b><\/a><b>)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$5,000<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$684,285<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$689,285<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Mayra Flores (<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/house\/texas\/34\/\"><b>TX-34<\/b><\/a><b>)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$10,000<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$605,023<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$615,023<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Jen A. Kiggans (<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/house\/virginia\/2\/\"><b>VA-2<\/b><\/a><b>)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$5,000<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$597,660<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$602,660<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>David Valadao (<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/house\/california\/22\/\"><b>CA-22<\/b><\/a><b>)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$21,000<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$578,591<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$599,591<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Jeremy Shaffer (<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/house\/pennsylvania\/17\/\"><b>PA-17<\/b><\/a><b>)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$5,000<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$591,140<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$596,140<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Marcus Molinaro (<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/house\/new-york\/19\/\"><b>NY-19<\/b><\/a><b>)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$446,876<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$446,876<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Allan W. Fung (<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/house\/rhode-island\/2\/\"><b>RI-2<\/b><\/a><b>)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$5,000<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$310,527<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$315,527<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Nick Begich III (<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/house\/alaska\/1\/\"><b>AK<\/b><\/a><b>)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$299,241<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$299,241<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Monica De La Cruz (<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/house\/texas\/15\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">TX-15<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$20,000<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$212,344<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$232,344<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>John Gibbs (<\/b><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/house\/michigan\/3\/\"><b>MI-3<\/b><\/a><b>)<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$0<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$231,870<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>$231,870<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Source: Greenpeace USA analysis using data from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.opensecrets.org\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">OpenSecrets<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FiveThirtyEight<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>METHODOLOGY<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For each toss-up race (as per <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/2022-election-forecast\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FiveThirtyEight\u2019s deluxe model<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, 11\/3\/2022), oil &amp; gas industry totals were calculated for: (1) direct contributions to Republican candidates and (2) support for Republican candidates through funding for party committees and super PACs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The first total refers to direct contributions made by oil &amp; gas organization-affiliated PACs to candidate PACs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The second total refers to independent expenditures supporting a candidate (or opposing the Democrat in the race) that were indirectly funded by oil &amp; gas organizations\u2019 donations to party committees and super PACs. A two-step attribution method was used to calculate this total. First, the amount contributed by oil &amp; gas organizations to each super PAC and party committee was calculated. Next, the amount contributed to each committee was multiplied by a spend factor per candidate (e.g., <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Committee\u2019s Independent Expenditures for Candidate X \u00f7 Committee\u2019s Overall Spend<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The calculated totals are conservative because they account for just the top 20 oil &amp; gas organizations with the highest political spending and the top 6 super PACs and party committees that received the most money from them. In other words, the real totals are almost certainly much higher. Additionally, direct contributions from party committees to candidates were omitted. They are often much less than independent expenditures due to federal contribution limits.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A sample calculation is included below:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Company X donated $200,000 to Super PAC Z<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Super PAC Z reported spending $400,000 total this election cycle. Of that, $50,000 went to supporting Candidate Q and another $50,000 went to opposing the Democrat in Candidate Q\u2019s race<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It can be inferred that Company X spent $50,000 supporting Candidate Q through its contribution to Super Pac Z ($200,000 \u00d7 $100,000\/$400,000 = $50,000)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Data were obtained from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.opensecrets.org\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">OpenSecrets<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FiveThirtyEight<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Processed data from Greenpeace USA\u2019s analysis can be <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1h96ksuzDD96H1ODMmc2qw64HU6lPsT3J\/edit#gid=39117950\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">accessed here<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i data-stringify-type=\"italic\">Correction: An earlier version of this analysis miscounted the number of races where oil &amp; gas-attributed spending outweighed small donations to one or both candidates<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>During this election cycle, 20 oil &amp; gas companies and industry trade associations contributed more than $52 million to right-wing super PACs and party fundraising committees, and more than $4&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6321,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"p4_og_title":"","p4_og_description":"","p4_og_image":"","p4_og_image_id":"","p4_seo_canonical_url":"","p4_campaign_name":"","p4_local_project":"","p4_basket_name":"","p4_department":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[211],"tags":[6],"p4-page-type":[29],"class_list":["post-3879","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-campaign","tag-climate","p4-page-type-research"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.9 (Yoast SEO v23.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Big Oil Money Looms Large in Competitive Elections - Greenpeace<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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